UFC London: Edwards vs Brady – 3.22.2025 – Fight Predictions and Analysis
Welcome to our collaborative coverage of UFC Fight Night London: Edwards vs Brady. This is shaping up to be a great event taking place primetime here at The O2 Arena in London. Be sure to check out our full reasoning for every pick as our records will not reflect confidence in each selection. We will be picking every fight, but likely only recommend betting on a select few.
Current Record
- Anthony: 67-39-1 (Last Year 321-191-0, 63%)
- Nick: 67-39-1 (Last Year 316-196-0, 62%)
*Fight odds were last updated from Bet99 on 3-21-2024 at 9pm EST
Preliminary Card- Starts 1:00pm EST
Guram Kutateladze -450 vs Kaue Fernandes +340
- Anthony: The event begins with this lightweight fight of Kaue Fernandes and Guram Kutateladze. I am not sure Kutateladze should be such a big betting favorite but I do think he will get the better of Fernandes here. Fernandes is a solid athlete training with the team at Nova Uniao. He has showcased good boxing and muay thai skills just largely against very low-level competition. Kurateladze has been fighting far better competition than anyone Fernandes has seen. Many fights for Kutateladze have been grueling decisions and very back and forth wars. He even fought back from a knockdown to win his last matchup against Jordan Vucenic. I think Kutateladze will excel in this spot given his size and consistent boxing. He tends to fight with more measured and rhythmic offense than Fernandes. Both men are very comfortable in the clinch but I rate Kutateladze a bit better. He is stronger overall and I think he has a chance to score a win by finish here. Guram Kutateladze by Round Three KO
- Nick: Guram Kutateladze has excellent grappling ability, especially defensively. He’s a dangerous striker, but far from conventional in both his stance and the angles from which he throws. He throws a lot of wild but powerful high kicks. He fights at a torrid pace, he has excellent cardio, and in spite of recent inconsistencies he’s already secured a signature win over a top-10 lightweight in Mateusz Gamrot. Kaue Fernandes is primarily a striker, fighting out of a solid Brazilian camp in Nova Uniao. He seems competent everywhere, but his wrestling defense is certainly more of a weakness than a strength. He can be dangerous on the feet, with massive power in his kicks at range, but he’s been inconsistent against even lower level opponents. He’s coming off an impressive KO win over Mohammad Yahya, but he’s taking a major step up in level of competition here against Kutateladze. The price feels wide here as Fernandes does seem to be improving from fight to fight, but Kutateladze is the side. He’s more dangerous on the feet and on the mat. As long as he paces himself, I expect he’ll secure another win. Guram Kutateladze by Decision
Nathan Fletcher -130 vs Caolan Loughran +110
- Anthony: Next is a good fight at bantamweight between Nathan Fletcher and Caolan Loughran. These two Cage Warriors veterans will clash here in London in front of a pro-Fletcher crowd. The 9-1 prospect from Liverpool has the makings of a solid contender moving forward. Fletcher has very high level wrestling and great skills in top position. He will likely open this fight by striking a while with Loughran. Fletcher is the better athlete at range, utilizing kicks and more weapons at distance. He is a step quicker than Loughran but I think that could prove to be negligible. Both men are going to land a lot of good strikes in this matchup. I think the bout will be decided by Fletcher’s ability to effectively grapple. Loughran has been the man scoring takedowns in his fights since joining the UFC. He has not allowed any takedowns and we have yet to see him put into position with an opponent on his back. Fletcher is going to give him all different looks today and I think Loughran will be stymied. Either way this is likely going to be a very closely scored decision. Nathan Fletcher by Decision
- Nick: Nathan Fletcher is a well rounded fighter who usually hunts for finishes both on the mat and in striking exchanges. He’s athletic, and he generally wears on his opponents with his aggressive and torrid pacing. He’s fought a solid level of regional competition, having primarily fought for Cage Warriors. He trains out of Next Generation in Liverpool, with the likes of Paddy Pimblett and Molly McCann. His greatest strength is his dangerous BJJ, but he’s more of an opportunistic submission fighter as he’s certainly content to stand and trade on the feet. Caolan Loughran is 9-2 professionally, with all but two of those wins coming via finish in the first or second round. He’s coming off an ugly decision loss to Jake Hadley, in which Hadley defended takedowns well and picked Loughran apart on the feet over three rounds. Loughran has an impressive highlight reel, but his wins have come against a questionable level of competition. He’s an underrated wrestler that generally uses his grappling to neutralize dangerous strikers. However, when he can’t get his wrestling going his general lack of striking technique leads to him taking a lot of damage and ultimately falling behind on the scorecards. These are two similar fighters, which makes this a tough fight to call. I slightly prefer the Fletcher side as it seems he’s the more aggressive of the two and the more potent finisher. A low confidence play, but I’m rolling with the favorite. Nathan Fletcher by Decision
Shauna Bannon -175 vs Puja Tomar +140
- Anthony: This is a fight at women’s strawweight between Puja Tomar and Shauna Bannon. It is a very low-level piece of matchmaking. I am picking Tomar here largely as a fade of Shauna Bannon. There is nothing at all I can say positively regarding Bannon’s skillset. Her boxing skills are basic and so far in the UFC the performances have been mediocre. Tomar is the much more aggressive fighter and more powerful strawweight. Her punches may not land as often as Bannon but Tomar will win moments in this fight using her heavy hands. Her wushu style is evident in the way she darts in with smooth attacks. While she has to overcome a bit of a size disadvantage in this matchup I think Tomar can really put up a good fight. It is unlikely that Tomar at any point gets really overwhelmed by Bannon. There is value in taking her as the betting underdog. Puja Tomar by Decision
- Nick: Shauna Bannon is 6-1 professionally, with each of her last four wins coming by decision. She is most recently coming off her first win in the UFC, which came in a narrow decision over Alice Ardelean. Bannon is athletic, but fairly raw in her abilities. She can be predictable both on the feet and in grappling exchanges. Additionally, most of her wins have come against a questionable level of competition. It does seem she’s improving and she’s going to have the crowd behind her here, but it’s a bit surprising to see her as a moderate favorite against anyone. Puja Tomar is 9-4 professionally, with six of those wins coming by KO. She’s coming off a win in her UFC debut over Rayanne Amanda in her UFC debut, but that was a controversial decision against one of the lower level combatants on the roster. She has decent BJJ offensively, but she seems relatively easy to takedown and control on the mat. It’s been said she has a wrestling background, but it does not seem to have translated well for her in MMA. She has surprising power for her frame, but her technical striking ability leaves a lot to be desired. This is a relatively low level match-up and thus, a tough fight to call. I slightly prefer the Tomar side as I expect she’s more likely to grapple here. I see value in her here as the underdog. Puja Tomar by Decision
Christian Leroy Duncan -550 vs Andrey Pulyaev +400
- Anthony: This matchup is at middleweight between Christian Leroy Duncan and Andrey Pulyaev. It is the UFC debut for Pulyaev who has had a great run to this point. The Russian is a good boxer with heavy hands and good overall striking. He has been mentored by Alexander Shlemenko and generally improving with each and every fight. Duncan is a massive step up in competition compared to the opponents that Pulyaev has been facing. I think he will struggle to match Duncan’s speed and precision here at this juncture. Duncan is much quicker landing combinations and hurting opponents with his hands. Pulyaev is not one to initiate much grappling or look to disrupt the striking rhythm. Duncan is really the much better technical striker and he should win in that style fight. Pulyaev has been knocked out one occasion before and I think Duncan will make it two times here today. It was a very tough draw for Pulyaev in his first fight. Duncan is going to have the crowd here in London giving their full support. Christian Leroy Duncan by Round Two KO
- Nick: Christian Leroy Duncan is 10-1 professionally, with eight of his wins coming via KO. He’s a dynamic striker who has shown serious power in both his punches and his kicks. He’s extremely athletic with creative flying and spinning attacks in his arsenal. He does an excellent job leading his opponents into traps, and he’s explosive out of breaks. As excellent as he is on the feet, his defensive grappling is still a major hole in his game. Additionally, he’s coming off an ugly loss to Gregory Rodrigues in which he was mostly dominated for three rounds. Andrey Pulyaev will be making his UFC debut here, coming off a Contender Series win over a tough out in Liam Anderson. He is 27 years old and 9-2 professionally, and he enters this fight on a five fight win streak. Pulyaev is relatively well rounded, but he prefers to stand and strike. Five of his nine professional wins have come via KO. Pulyaev can be dangerous, but his willingness to exchange in the pocket is likely to lead to his demise here. Leroy Duncan is the much better technical striker. I expect he can find a knockout shot after he starts to find his reads. Christian Leroy Duncan by Round Two KO
Mick Parkin -130 vs Marcin Tybura +110
- Anthony: Next is a fight at heavyweight between Mick Parkin and Marcin Tybura. This is a bit of a mirror match here with both heavyweights taking a similar approach in their fights. Tybura has been a commanding presence in the top fifteen for quite some time, largely thanks to his grappling offense and good overall control. Tybura can normally find openings to take down his opponents and keep them contained on the ground or along the octagon side. His last performance was a beatdown of Jhonata Diniz, a fight that saw a doctor’s stoppage after two rounds of action and just one takedown. I do not think Tybura can outmuscle Parkin here and throw him around in the same manner. Parkin is the heavier man by ten-pounds and a significantly better wrestler. The undefeated professional has used his grappling just like Tybura to realize a lot of early fight success. Parkin also has power in his hands and better technical striking than Tybura. He should be able to dictate where this bout takes place and I do not worry about him competing with Tybura in any area. At near even odds I think Parkin is a solid value bet here today. He should be winning most minutes in this fight by simply denying Tybura top position. Mick Parkin by Round Two KO
- Nick: This is a heavyweight match-up between two of the biggest fighters in the division, but both of these guys are more athletic than they look. Parkin is a powerful striker with decent BJJ, but it’s tough to gauge his level as he really hasn’t been tested extensively against top level competition. He’s coming off four straight wins under the UFC banner, but against relatively low level opponents. It will be interesting to see how he develops as he continues to take on tougher competition. Marcin Tybura is decent on the feet, but most of his success has come via his wrestling. Tybura is a BJJ black belt and one of the better offensive grapplers in the division. His career does seem to be on a bit of a decline, but he’s really only fallen to the best fighters in the division. He’s coming off a solid win over a talented up-and-comer in Jhonata Diniz in which he dominated the fight on the mat. Parkin is a talented prospect, but this feels like a dramatic step up for him in terms of level of competition. Tybura’s career is on a bit of a decline, but I still think he’s the side here as the underdog. He has faced a much better level of competition, and he has a clear path to victory here if he chooses to lean on his grappling. This is a volatile matchup, but Tybura is the side. Marcin Tybura by Decision
Lone’er Kavanagh -320 vs Felipe dos Santos +250
- Anthony: This is a bout at flyweight between Lone’er Kavanagh and Felipe dos Santos. We should be in for a good scrap here as both men tend to engage their opponents on the feet. There seems to be a very bright future ahead of Kavanagh here at 125 pounds. He is quick and light on his feet, landing precise attacks on his opponents with exceptional kickboxing and muay thai. Kavanaugh won Dana White’s Contender Series last August, scoring a highlight reel knockout against An Tuan Ho. His promotional debut was also a success against fellow newcomer Jose Ochoa. This matchup against Lipe Detona will be tougher but I think Kavanagh has what it takes to get by. Dos Santos trains with Chute Boxe Diego Lima and fights with their typical, aggressive style. He is going to be looking to close distance on Kavanagh and engage in close range where Lone’er is really best. I expect Lone’er to have much better timing than dos Santos and land counters that hurt him as he looks to move in. Kavanagh has a great chance of scoring another win by knockout here today. He is suited well to go a hard fifteen minutes, while dos Santos tends to generally have a problem managing his cardio after round one. Lone’er Kavanagh by Round Three KO
- Nick: Kavanagh is 8-0 professionally, with five of those wins coming via KO. Kavanagh is 25-years old, and he’s already well developed for his age. He’s primarily fought for a respectable regional promotion via Cage Warriors. He’s a competent grappler, but a dangerous and aggressive striker. He fights well in the pocket and his power for a flyweight makes him a prospect worth keeping an eye on. He secured a win over Jose Ochoa his last time out in his UFC debut, but he’ll be facing a tougher opponent here against dos Santos. Felipe dos Santos is 8-2 professionally, fighting out of Chute Boxe in Brazil. Like many of his Chute Boxe teammates, dos Santos is extremely aggressive and dangerous both on the feet and on the mat. At 23-years old it’s safe to expect he’s to continue to show considerable improvements in all facets of his game. His kill-or-be-killed style makes him dangerous, but risky to back against anyone. He is 1-2 so far in the UFC. The price feels too wide here, but I do see Kavanagh as the rightful favorite. Felipe dos Santos will be dangerous here, but he’s very hittable. This is a low confidence play, but I expect Kavanagh’s defensive striking ability will allow him to edge this one out on the scorecards. Lone’er Kavanagh by Decision
Jai Herbert -120 vs Chris Padilla +100
- Anthony: The featured bout is a fight at lightweight between Jai Herbert and Chris Padilla. This is excellent matchmaking as these two should provide a compelling stylistic clash. Padilla has been streaking, winner of five straight and in two consecutive UFC appearances he has cashed as the betting underdog. Padilla is quick to get after it in his fights, trusting his cardio and forcing his way into range. Padilla has good wrestling and very slick chokes, making him a real threat to an opponent like Herbert. It is clear that Herbert is the better technical striker, but he will be tested here by Padilla’s pressure and grappling pace. Padilla will make it a priority to shoot for takedowns early in this fight given the size discrepancy he faces on the feet. We have seen Herbert start slow on occasions before but he cannot afford to let Padilla take an early lead in this bout. Padilla has more overall experience than Herbert and the better overall wins. It really seems appropriate that this fight has stayed near pick em odds all week. I am going to side with Padilla who is the more well-rounded and younger athlete. He is very comfortable in the underdog roll. Not only do I view Padilla as having great finishing equity but I could also see him winning a decision here as the pace of this bout dwindles. Chris Padilla by Round Three Submission
- Nick: Jai Herbert is a former Cage Warriors Champion with decent BJJ, but his most recent wins have come via strikes on the feet. He’s most comfortable fighting in the clinch with a strong muay-thai base, but he’s fairly competent no matter where a fight takes him. He fights well at range, and he carries power in all of his limbs. He’s been inconsistent since his UFC debut, but when he’s at his best he’s capable of putting together well-rounded and impressive performances. Chris Padilla is 15-6 professionally, coming off impressive wins over James Llontop and Rongzhu via finish. While not a highly regarded fighter when he broke into the promotion, he’s now on a five fight win streak and he’s given a better showing of himself than anyone really expected. At 29-years old, Padilla has been fighting professionally for more than a decade. He has decent fundamentals both at striking range and on the mat, but he’s small for the division and it seems he really doesn’t have any standout skill. Padilla has been impressive as an underdog, but I do expect Hebert can pick him apart at range here. His reach advantage and his technical advantages on the feet should allow him to secure a decision. Jai Herbert by Decision
Main Card- Starts 4:00pm EST
Morgan Chaerriere -135 vs Nathaniel Wood +115
- Anthony: The main card begins with this bout at featherweight between Nathaniel Wood and Morgan Chaerriere. Wood last competed in Manchester at UFC 304 last year. That performance was yet another showing out of Wood that did not impress me or leave me wanting more. I used to be very high on Wood as a prospect but he is not nearly as skilled as I had once thought. While he is serviceable in all areas, Wood does not react very well in terms of his striking defense. His grappling is not reliable and Chaerriere will be the much more dangerous athlete in this matchup. Chaerriere has been fighting here in Europe forever, building a professional record of 20-10-1. He has twelve wins via knockout and much more power than a guy like Wood. Chaerriere should control distance well here with his kicks and lead hand. His strikes have a great effect on opponents not necessarily due to power, but also due to the speed that they land. I do not think Wood is fast enough to evade many of Chaerriere’s chopping body kicks or attacks to the lower level. I am rather confident betting on Chaerriere here as these odds have continued to close. Money is pouring in on a lot of these English fighters tonight. Morgan Chaerriere by Decision
- Nick: Morgan Charriere is 20-10-1 professionally, and widely regarded as one of the better prospects to come out of France. Charriere is well-rounded, with a solid wrestling base and a crisp and compact striking style. Twelve of his twenty wins have come via KO, but he frequently looks to grapple if he feels he has that advantage over his opponent. He’s skilled and has a relatively high fight IQ, but he does have a habit of fighting down to the level of his opponent. Almost all of his fights play out closely, regardless of who he is matched up against. Nathaniel Wood has crisp striking and he throws intelligent combinations on the feet. He forces a serious pace and puts constant pressure on his opponents. At his best, he can put out serious volume while mixing in takedowns to keep his opponents guessing. His conditioning has been solid lately, but we have seen him fade late in fights earlier on in his career. This fight should be extremely competitive, but I do slightly prefer Chaerriere here as he should have a considerable size and strength advantage. Wood is small for the division, and most of his success has come against opponents smaller than what he’ll be dealing with here. A low confidence play, but I’m backing the favorite. Morgan Chaerriere by Decision
Jordan Vucenic -450 vs Chris Duncan +340
- Anthony: The next fight is at lightweight between Jordan Vucenic and Chris Duncan. Vucenic is a former Cage Warrior champion with numerous fights taking place here in London. He fought well as the underdog in his UFC debut but this matchup is much more favorable for him facing a thudding striker. Vucenic is very slick with his movements and quick to line up his counter shots. His wrestling will play a large role in this fight as Duncan has shown a tendency to shoot rather often. Vucenic is a brown belt in jiu jitsu and much better at controlling positions on the ground when compared to Duncan. It would not surprise me to see Vucenic win this match with a submission. I also believe he could hurt Dunan on the feet because the guy rarely tends to move his head. A lot of Duncan’s movements are straight forward with too much telegraphing. That reckless and brawling style always makes his fights very volatile. He has the boxing to give Vucenic problems when this bout is standing. Duncan could also tough out a three round decision if he is not eating too many strikes. I fear Vucenic gets the better of him with better wrestling and more skilled control. He is not a fighter I will be betting at -450 this weekend. Jordan Vucenic by Decision
- Nick: Vucenic is 13-3 professionally and 29-years old, and he’s built a name as a prospect as he has faced a quality level of regional opponents as a former Cage Warriors Featherweight Champion. Jordan Vucenic is coming off a hard fought decision loss in his UFC debut, which came against a tough out in Guram Kutateladze. In spite of the loss, Vucenic’s stock as a prospect rose as he fought well on short notice against a dangerous vet. Jordan Vucenic is decent on the feet, but primarily a grappler as six of his thirteen professional wins have come via submission. He fights loosely out of a muay thai stance, and he throws big shots in the clinch and explodes out of breaks. Chris Duncan has one-shot KO power on the feet, but his aggressive style means that he is often open to being countered in exchanges. Duncan is 12-2 professionally, with seven of those wins coming via KO. Having recently shifted camps to American Top Team, it’s encouraging to see Duncan fighting with more of an intelligent game plan and leaning more on his wrestling lately. This is especially important given the questions surrounding his durability. Duncan is coming off an impressive submission win over Bolaji Oki, improving his record to 3-1 under the UFC banner. This is a volatile matchup between two potent finishers. I slightly prefer the Vucenic side as the more durable of the two. Jordan Vucenic by Round Two KO
Alexia Thainara -250 vs Molly McCann +200
- Anthony: Next is a women’s strawweight bout between Molly McCann and Alexia Thainara. McCann is always a big draw in London and fans today will be hoping to see one more win out of Meatball. She faces a tough debuting opponent in Brazil’s Alexia Thainara. The 11-1 professional has good boxing skills and very high level grappling. She certainly has the jiu jitsu needed to find a submission. McCann lost via armbar her last time in London and I fear that could happen again tonight. From what I have seen of her striking previously, Thainara figures to get the best of McCann while standing too. Thainara throws a very high volume of attacks and I do not think McCann will be able to keep pace. She is seven years younger than McCann and much quicker when it comes to firing attacks. Thainara has very good kicks and more weapons than Molly at range. She is the rightful betting favorite here. Alexia Thainara by Decision
- Nick: Alexia Thainara will be making her UFC debut here, coming off an impressive Contender Series win over Rose Conceição. She is 11-1 professionally, with six of those eleven wins coming via submission. She’s small for the division, but she’s well-rounded and it seems she’s improving dramatically every time we see her in the cage. Molly McCann does a good job working behind her jab. She is an extremely aggressive brawler with crisp boxing ability, decent defensive grappling ability and excellent cardio. She is capable of leaning on her wrestling against inferior grapplers but there’s certainly no denying that she prefers to stand and swing. Her durability and grit are amongst her better qualities, but she is just 1-3 across her last four fights. This is a tough fight to call as McCann has a major experience advantage but a glaring hole in her grappling ability. While I don’t like the price, I do expect Thainara to secure the takedowns she needs here to eventually score a submission. Alexia Thainara by Round One Submission
Gunnar Nelson -120 vs Kevin Holland +100
- Anthony: This is a fight at welterweight between Kevin Holland and Gunnar Nelson. Nelson loves to come out and perform on these primetime cards in London. I think he is going to score a big win today with the home crowd behind him. In both of Holland’s previous octagon appearances he has been thrown to the mat and finished. Defensive grappling has been a nightmare for all of Holland’s career. I cannot bet on Holland facing grapplers if he is never going to correct the issue. Nelson averages nearly two takedowns scored per fight and at least one submission attempt. He is a jiu jitsu black belt under Renzo Gracie. Nelson is very effective bringing his fights to the mat whether that be with his wrestling or his judo. While Holland has the size advantage here over Nelson, he will struggle to keep his weight off of him once taken down. Holland also has just 53 percent takedown defense. Nelson winning by submission is one of my most confident bets for this event. Gunnar Nelson by Round Two Submission
- Nick: Gunnar Nelson is an extremely talented grappler who has been in close fights with many of the big names at 170. He fights out of an open karate style stance when he’s striking at range, he has solid entries for takedowns and on the mat his BJJ is as dangerous as anyone’s in the division. As talented as he is, he’s one of the least active fighters on the entire roster. He has been out of action since he secured a submission win over Bryan Barbarena back in March of 2023. Kevin Holland has developed a reputation as one of the more exciting fighters in the UFC. He talks constantly, both insulting and congratulating his opponents for the entire time he’s in the cage. He’s a rangy and creative striker with surprising power for his frame, but he has a clear hole in his game via his takedown defense. While he struggles at times against wrestlers, he has dangerous BJJ as a black belt under Travis Lutter. His grappling has looked a lot better overall since he made the move down to welterweight, but he’s been wildly inconsistent as he fights as often as anyone on the roster. Nelson’s general inactivity makes him difficult to back with confidence here. That being said, Holland’s lack of defensive grappling ability means this is a brutal match-up for him stylistically. Holland will be the much better striker in this match-up, but Nelson should be able to hang on the feet here long enough to find clean entries for takedowns. Holland has just a 53 percent takedown defense in the UFC. Nelson has a near 60% takedown accuracy rating. Once this fight hits the mat, I expect Nelson can work his way to another win. Gunnar Nelson by Round Two Submission
Carlos Ulberg -300 vs Jan Blachowicz +240
- Anthony: The co-main event comes at light heavyweight between Carlos Ulberg and Jan Blachowicz. The winner of this fight would be in a very good position to fight for the division’s title by the end of the year. I have been extremely high on Ulberg since he joined the promotion. He is on a streak of seven-straight victories with five wins coming by stoppage. Ulberg was challenged in his last fight against Volkan Oezdemir but he did do enough there to beat a very high quality opponent. Blachowicz will now provide an even tougher test for Ulberg with his granite chin and thudding power. Ulberg is much faster and more precise than Blachowicz, but it is the power shots from Jan that really even up his fights. Blachowicz has also utilized his wrestling much more when facing kickboxers. He scored three takedowns in his fight against Alex Pereira and three against Israel Adesanya who trains closely with Ulberg. With only three rounds scheduled in this matchup I do think Ulberg is still the rightful betting favorite. Ulberg has defended 83 percent of takedowns shot against him. He should be able to control distance against Blachowicz while landing a much higher volume of strikes. Carlos Ulberg by Round Two KO
- Nick: Carlos Ulberg does a good job mixing in feints to trap his opponents. He’s a decorated kickboxer with knockout power in all of his limbs, but he sometimes leaves himself open to take damage in exchanges. He trains with City Kickboxing along with former middleweight champion, Israel Adesanya under Head Coach Eugene Bareman. He’s coming off seven consecutive wins under the UFC banner, including a career best win over Voklan Oezdemir his last time out, which came by decision at UFC 286. Jan Blachowicz, is a well-rounded fighter with serious knockout power. The former light heavyweight champion has a solid grappling base, but on the ground he relies on brute strength more than advanced technical ability. Blachowicz’ chin has held up well of late and it seems he’s as good as he’s ever been. He has a powerful high kick which he used to brutalize Dominick Reyes when capturing the title and he can end a fight with any of his limbs. He can sometimes be a slow starter, which could prove troublesome here against an athletic opponent in Carlos Ulberg. I’ve gone back and forth on this pick and this is certainly a fight I could see going either way. However, this feels like a fight Blachowicz should win. As long as he avoids Ulberg’s bigger shots, he should be able to mix in his grappling on his way to a decision. He’ll need to land leg kicks early and he can’t be afraid to pursue takedowns relentlessly even if Ulberg defends against them early. Jan Blachowicz by Decision
Sean Brady -165 vs Leon Edwards +130
- Anthony: The main event is a welterweight matchup between Sean Brady and Leon Edwards. I think this is a very tough stylistic booking for Edwards who is hoping to rebound from his first loss in more than nine years. He was originally scheduled against Jack Della Maddalena but now he will face a great grappler instead. Brady has gone 7-1 since joining the UFC, winning his last two appearances in impressive fashion. He is averaging more than one takedown landed per round and nearly one submission attempt per fight. Brady is a blackbelt representing Renzo Gracie Philly. I expect him to challenge Edwards’ grappling as soon as this fight begins. He is a big and strong welterweight that can keep Edwards glued to the canvas better than the previous elite wrestlers he has faced. I expect it to be a relentless grappling attack from Brady since he cannot afford to strike with Edwards for very long. Edwards’ elite boxing will give Brady problems as he tries to move in, but it is difficult to keep space with a grappler for a full five rounds. I think Brady will upset the London crowd here by making this as boring as possible. Edwards also had a battle with staph infection these previous two months. It is tempting to take him as the betting underdog but I worry about him fighting off takedowns well for another full five rounds. Brady is rightfully the slight betting favorite in this spot. Sean Brady by Decision
- Nick: Sean Brady is one of the more exciting prospects we have at welterweight, coming of a dominant win by decision over a tough out in Gilbert Burns. He is a decent offensive striker and competent on the feet, but his greatest strength is certainly his extremely strong and powerful grappler ability. He has elite submission ability as a decorated black belt in jiu jitsu, and he’s strong enough to take his opponents’ necks from unconventional positions. Leon Edwards, the former UFC Welterweight Champion, had strung together twelve consecutive wins before he lost his title his last time out via decision to Belal Muhammad. He was competitive in that fight, but he seemed a step behind Muhammad both on the mat and against the cage. Edwards is a gifted striker that does an excellent job of moving in and out of his opponents’ range. His wrestling has undoubtedly improved over the past few years, but there is no doubt that his best chance to secure the win here is to keep this fight standing. Brady may secure a few takedowns here, but I expect Edwards can work his way back to his feet the same way he did against both Covington and Kamaru Usman in the past. Edwards’ striking ability will likely be too much for Brady to weather for long. It’s also encouraging he’ll be fighting in front of his home crowd here. Leon Edwards by Decision
-Anthony Marro
Twitter: @AnthonyMarro_
-Nick Marro
Twitter: @NickMarroDFS
Photo: UFC.com