UFC Orlando Predictions & Betting Guide

UFC Orlando: Thompson vs Holland – 12.3.2022 – Fight Predictions and Analysis

Welcome to our collaborative coverage of UFC Orlando: Thompson vs Holland. We have a card today stacked top to bottom with fun fights here after a week away from action. Our analysis includes a pick for every bout from Dynes Sports contributors Anthony Marro and Nicholas Marro.

As coverage continues, we will keep our records up to date below. Be sure to check out our full reasoning for every pick though as records will not reflect confidence. We will be picking every fight, but likely only recommend betting on a select few.

Current Record

Anthony: 296-173-2 (Last Year 299-200-5)
Nick: 298-171-2 (Last Year 305-194-5)

*Fight odds were last updated from Bet99 on 12-2-2022 at 10pm EST

Preliminary Card- Starts 7:00pm EST

Yazmin Jauregui -325 vs Istela Nunes +250

Anthony: The card begins with a fight at women’s strawweight as Istela Nunes faces Yazmin Jauregui. I was skeptical to back Jauregui in her UFC debut this August but she delivered in an incredibly technical scrap. The undefeated prospect is now 9-0 at just 23 years of age. She is a great kickboxer with fast hands and even quicker kicks. Jauregui does well throwing in combination and working her jab early to get control of distance as she is rarely the bigger girl. Nunes is a bit taller and stronger but I do not see her keeping pace with Jauregui’s precision striking. Nunes is a bit more of a brawler and I do not expect her to find a seminal blow in the lowest weight division. She is seven years older than Jauregui and it appears this could be a matchup perhaps made to showcase this exciting new talent. Yazmin Jauregui by Decision
Nick: Yazmin Jauregui comes into this fight off a win in her UFC debut. She is a former Combate Global Strawweight Tournament Champion. She sits at an undefeated 9-0, with six of those wins coming via KO. She is only 23-years old, but she’s already a highly skilled striker with excellent pressure and power. She looked outstanding in her debut, out-landing and staying defensively sound against a tough out in Iasmin Lucindo. Isleta Nunes is also a primary striker. She’s effective both at range and in the clinch. She works well behind her jab, but her cardio seems to be more of a weakness than a strength at this point in her career. I expect she’ll keep this close, but as the fight wears on Jauregui’s technical advantages should shine through. Yazmin Jauregui by Decision

Francis Marshall -180 vs Marcelo Rojo +145

Anthony: Next is a featherweight matchup between Marcelo Rojo and Francis Marshall. This is the UFC debut for Marshall after an impressive showing on Dana White’s Contender Series. He looked like a machine out there completing six of ten takedowns and accruing 110 significant strikes. Similar to Jauregui he is 23 years old and drawing into a senior opponent with a bit less skill. Rojo is a good striker with an aggressive, in your face style. Marshall may have trouble keeping Rojo’s jabs and attacks from varied stances out of his face, but I do see him controlling this fight rather comfortably if successful bringing Rojo to the mat. Kyler Phillips sliced through Rojo rather easily grappling and with just 66 percent takedown defense that could be the path Marshall elects to take here this evening. On the feet his striking defense seems better than that of Rojo and it makes sense to see him favored in this fight. Rojo will also be without his head coach James Krause for this bout as he can no longer remain in the corner of fighters. I am picking Marshall but not confidently betting him in his first octagon appearance. Francis Marshall by Decision
Nick: Three of Marcelo Rojo’s last four wins have come by first round knockout. As impressive as that may seem, he really hasn’t secured any quality wins over top quality competition. He showed solid durability against both Kyler Phillips and Charles Jourdain, but none of his offensive skills really seemed to stand out when you watch him on film. Francis Marshall will be making his UFC debut here, coming off a solid Contender Series win over Connor Matthews. Marshall is undefeated at 6-0. He’s well-rounded as an effective striker, with four of his six professional wins coming via rear naked choke. This is certainly a low-level match-up and this should be a competitive fight. Still, I see Marshall as the rightful favorite. Rojo’s career seems to be on the downturn and I’m not convinced he’s UFC level. Francis Marshall by Round Three KO

Nathan Levy -210 vs Genaro Valdez +170

Anthony: This should be a good lightweight scrap between Nathan Levy and Genaro Valdez. I would consider Valdez weak competition, but Levy is not a lock at this number after seeing his first two UFC appearances. He followed his debut loss against Rafa Garcia with a rather shaky win over Mike Breeden. While I do not think Levy has much longevity in this weight class he should get the victory here against an opponent focused on boxing. The wide arsenal of Levy’s kicks should allow him to control range in this fight and keep his chin out of harm’s way on the feet. Levy will ultimately be looking to takedown and submit Valdez given the vast discrepancy between the two men’s grappling credentials. This camp was likely spent drilling takedowns but I still do not think Valdez is talented enough to do so while surviving a full three rounds. Nathan Levy by Round One Submission
Nick: Natan Levy is a karate style striker who also has excellent BJJ. He dropped a close decision in his UFC debut to a tough out in Rafa Garcia, but he gave a decent showing of himself against a respectable opponent. He has since secured a win over Mike Breeden, a hard fought decision in which Levy did a good job mixing his striking with his grappling. He seems to have upside in terms of his career trajectory, but there’s no denying the fact he’s still developing his skills. Genaro Valdez has been out of action since January, when he was KO’d by Matt Frevola in his UFC debut. All ten of Valdez’s wins have come via finish; three via submission and ten via KO. The issue with Valdez’s success is that it almost exclusively came against terrible competition. I see Levy as the more well-rounded fighter here. As long as he doesn’t get caught early, he should cruise to a relatively easy win. Nathan Levy by Round Two Submission

Jonathan Pearce -550 vs Darren Elkins +375

Anthony: This is a featherweight matchup between Darren Elkins and Jonathan Pearce. It is never smart to count out The Damage Darren Elkins but these odds have swelled significantly into the favor of Pearce. The 3-1 streak Elkins brings into this bout are against lesser competition than JSP, who has rattled off four in a row. Pearce’s wrestling has been the key to his success, averaging north of two takedowns landed per round since joining the promotion. He has really refined his game since starting training at Fight Ready in Arizona. Elkins has a base in wrestling and likely feels content rolling with Pearce here in search of a dominant position. His strikes do not have anywhere near the pop of his much younger counterpart, making Elkins quite the longshot to pull off a stunner. While he is content to wrestle and grappler I see him getting controlled for a majority of this bout’s duration. Jonathan Pearce by Round Three KO
Nick: Pearce fights at a torrid pace and throws a lot of volume as a striker. He doesn’t carry much power in his individual shots, but he can hurt his opponents and put them away with consistent pressure and volume. He has a solid wrestling base and decent BJJ, which was fully on display in his submission wins over Omar Morales and Kai Kamaka. He is most recently coming off a solid win over Makwan Amirkhani. A fight in which he fought out of danger early until he was able to weaponize his pace and cardio and put Amirkhani away via ground and pound. Elkins is an extremely tough and gritty veteran known as “The Damage” for his ability to take shots and keep moving forward. He is bloodied and bruised in almost all of his fights, regardless of whether or not he wins or loses. Elkins is decent offensively but he’s also extremely hittable. He is a technically gifted wrestler who does well in scrambles but there is no denying he’s on the downturn of his career. The line feels wide here knowing how durable Elkins is. However, Pearce is the side. Jonathan Pearce by Round Two KO

Marc Diakiese -365 vs Micahel Johnson +275

Anthony: Next is a lightweight fight with Marc Diakiese taking on Michael Johnson. I am excited for a clash here of two powerful strikers sharing similar styles and frames. Johnson fights opposite Diakiese in the southpaw stance with a prodding right hand and quick hook his primary weapons. We have seen Johnson share the cage with some of this division’s test and now he draws Diakiese in the role of a gatekeeper, trying to keep him on the outside looking in. Two wins in a row for Diakiese has put him back onto the public radar and many are fans of this steady presence fighting out of England. I am not a big fan of his style as he tends to manage risk and fight at a slower pace to make bouts more technical and controlled. Diakiese is a large favorite as he is without a doubt more sharp than Johnson, but really these odds appear to be too wide. Johnson has serious power and I could see him clipping Diakiese at any point here on the feet, regardless of his solid defensive awareness. He also can cash this ticket in a close decision victory. Six of the last seven Diakiese fights have seen the judge’s scorecards. Michael Johnson by Decision
Nick: Michael Johnson was once considered a future title contender at 155. He has notable wins over Tony Ferguson, Dustin Poirier, and Edson Barboza. That being said, there’s really no denying he’s a shell of the fighter he was in his prime. Johnson is a highly technical southpaw striker but his fight IQ and durability have deteriorated over the years. Marc Diakiese is a talented striker in his own right. He’s technically sound with underrated power. He does a good job mixing kicks into his combinations and he’s excellent in the clinch and offensively out of breaks. That being said, he’s going to have a considerable grappling advantage in this match-up. The key for him here will be taking this fight to the mat and keeping it there as much as possible. Diakiese has shown a very high Fight IQ recently. I expect that trend to continue here as he works his way to another grappling heavy decision. Marc Diakiese by Decision

Scott Holtzman -180 vs Clay Guida +145

Anthony: This should be a very fun scrap between Scott Holtzman and the veteran Clay Guida. Despite now being 40 years old, Guida has shown little to no signs of slowing down. He remains a high pressure striker with a wrestling heavy approach, using his cardio and frenetic pace to overwhelm opponents. Guida’s last fight came in April when Claudio Puelles caught him in a kneebar submission. Since then he has remained very active, grappling competitively at two Fury Pro events. Holtzman is not fighting as frequently. He has had two bouts since August 2020, losing to both Beneil Dariush and Mateusz Gamrot. It is difficult to truly judge his ceiling as losses for Holtzman have consistently come against some of the division’s best. While I do think he is a better striker than Guida, Holtzman will struggle to keep this fight competitive if he does not stuff the first few shots. I think Guida is a very live underdog. He can win this fight staying in close against Holtzman and utilizing his top tier freestyle wrestling. Clay Guida by Decision
Nick: Holtzman is a strong grappler who has shown continuous improvements on the feet. He likes to lean on his wrestling against inferior grapplers, but Guida is actually the better grappler in this match-up. Guida is a legend of the game but he’s far past his prime. He is known for his fast-paced aggressive and high-pressure style, but he’s certainly lost a lot of the explosiveness he had back when he was a legitimate contender. Holtzman is going to be the more athletic and technically sound fighter on the feet here, but I see Guida’s wrestling keeping things close. This is one of the tougher fights on the card to call, so I’ll take the value of the underdog in what should be a close one. It’s also a bit of a red flag for Holtzman here that he’s announced this will be his final fight before he retires. Clay Guida by Decision

Emily Ducote -130 vs Angela Hill +110

Anthony: Next is a women’s strawweight matchup between Emily Ducote and Angela Hill. This is a near pick’em bout with Ducote closing here the small favorite. She has been victorious in her last four fights and looked solid making her promotional debut against Jessica Penne this summer. I like the diversity of strikes thrown by Ducote and her ability to work well from the outside. Her kicks and distance management will be a huge factor deciding this scrap with the rather consistent Angela Hill. Normally you can expect every Hill fight to be a rather back and forth affair, decided by the judges. She can usually get love on at least one scorecard but Ducote is more steady and the pick for me here. I see her having the advantage over Hill if this fight hits the mat and give her the slight edge striking. Emily Ducote by Decision
Nick: Ducote is an effective striker with surprising power for her frame. She is coming off an impressive win in her UFC debut over a tough vet in Jessica Penna, a fight in which she mostly relied on leg kicks to dominate at striking range. This fight will mark Angela Hill’s 22nd with the UFC. Angela Hill is well-rounded, with a powerful muay thai striking base. She is a competent grappler with decent BJJ, but most of her success has come striking both in the clinch as well as in open space. Hill should have a technical advantage when this fight is standing, but it is unlikely to be significant. She’ll likely put out more volume, but Ducote should have the power advantage. These are two extremely similar fighters in terms of their style. Ducote has a clear path to win if she can lean on her grappling, but I’m not confident in her executing that game plan. Another close fight I could see going either way, I prefer the value and the experience of the underdog. Angela Hill by Decision

Niko Price -130 vs Phil Rowe +110

Anthony: The featured prelim is a fight at welterweight between Niko Price and Philip Rowe. Yesterday on the scales Rowe came in more than a pound heavy after what was likely a rough weight cut. He is massive for this welterweight division standing 6’3 with an 80-inch reach. I like the way he uses length to his advantage striking but I am not ready to overstate the two-win streak he enters the cage with tonight. Quick knockout wins against Orion Cosce and Jason Witt do not make me that excited. Both men have lackluster chins and I am confident assuming Price would find similar success facing either. Price is not as aggressive as he once was, but I do see him being the more active fighter today facing a slower pace aggressor in Rowe. Price responds better to big shots and tends to defend intelligently in the instances he does get clipped. Tonight I am expecting him to get the better of Rowe in a fight primarily contested on the feet. Niko Price by Round Two KO
Nick: By most accounts, this fight is must-see TV. Both of these guys like to stand and swing, they both have power and they’ve both shown time and time again that they can take a lot of damage. Niko Price will likely have the power advantage here, he’s fairly well-rounded but he’s found most of his UFC success trading on the feet with notable wins over Alex Oliveira, Tim Means, and Randy Brown. Ten of his fifteen professional wins have come via KO. Rowe has a ridiculous 80.5-inch reach as one of the tallest welterweights on the UFC roster. He’s coming off back-to-back KO wins over Jason Witt and Orion Cosce, but this match-up with Price represents a considerable step up in competition for him. Another extremely close match-up and a tough one to call, but I’m siding with the favorite in this one. Price seems to be the better grappler and the more powerful striker overall. Rowe has a clear path to win if he can stay at range and work behind his jab, but Price should be able to close distance and land the more damaging shots. Niko Price by Decision

Main Card- Starts 10:00pm EST

Kyle Daukaus -220 vs Eryk Anders +175

Anthony: The main card opens with this middleweight matchup of Eryk Anders and Kyle Daukaus. These are rather volatile fighters that both have a losing record since joining the UFC. Daukaus is more proficient than Anders on the mat which makes him the moderate favorite tonight. He averages more than two submission attempts per fight and has a knack for threatening the back take often, standing and when fights hit the mat. Anders does tend to look for a takedown in his bouts which likely plays to his detriment here. His camp is likely focused on keeping this match standing and avoiding grappling exchanges, especially since Anders does have the better chin and power on the feet. I am betting on Daukaus here today although this pick is not my most confident. It is hard to envision a path to victory for Eryk Anders apart from finding that knockout. Kyle Daukaus by Round Two Submission
Nick: As a former Alabama University linebacker, Eryk Anders is a gifted athlete. That being said, he lacks the power you’d expect to see coming from his frame. He’s a quality striker in terms of technical ability, but he doesn’t always put out enough volume to win over judges on the scorecards. Daukaus’ striking is still far from technical, but he is well-versed enough to stand and trade when he needs to. His greatest strength is his offensive grappling ability as a BJJ black belt, but so far in the UFC I’ve been most impressed by his chin, cardio and overall grit. Anders is going to be the more powerful and physically imposing fighter here, but Daukaus has a much higher fight IQ and he’s more advanced in terms of his technical ability. Anders will be dangerous early, but I see Daukaus’ cardio becoming a weapon as this fight wears on. Even if he drops the first round, he should cruise in the second and third as Anders starts to fade. Kyle Daukaus by Decision

Jack Hermansson -190 vs Roman Dolidze +160

Anthony: Next is a middleweight fight between Jack Hermansson and the streaking Roman Dolidze. Dolidze is coming off two emphatic wins by round one KO. Just a month ago he floored Phil Hawes with a nasty hook in a dominant showing at the Apex. Prior to that was a win by knee against Daukaus who is fighting the bout prior to him tonight. This is a very scary Georgian who has sophisticated submission grappling and absolute bombs in each hand. He seems to have gotten his footing in the promotion now entering his seventh fight, but Hermansson is quite the step up in competition. They are very similar style fighters. What we have seen out of each man this year makes me anticipate a back and forth fight largely contested on the feet. Both love to hunt for finishes on the mat but I do not see either rushing for a shot here. Hermansson is a bit unorthodox in his movements and entries, making me lean toward the steadier striker in Dolidze. I think he keeps a steady pace throughout this fight and finds a way to outwork Hermansson when it counts in rounds two and three. He is an intense guy that will feed off this sellout crowd. Roman Dolidze by Round Three Submission
Nick: Dolidze packs a lot of power in his strikes, but he’s also a decorated grappler as an ADCC Asia & Oceania Champion. Dolidze has recently begun training at Xtreme Couture. As a fighter who was the owner of his own small gym before the move, this camp shift should help him improve considerably in each fight moving forward. He’s now training with tougher partners and learning new techniques he wouldn’t have been able to otherwise. This was evident in his most recent fight, a quick KO win over Phil Hawes. Jack Hermansson, is one of the best offensive grapplers in the UFC at Middleweight. His style is fairly unconventional, but he has more brute strength than most do on the mat so he can pull off Submissions that most others couldn’t. He can look awkward on the feet, but he throws powerful and accurate strikes and he does an excellent job circling away from the power of his opponents. His awkward style makes him a difficult target to find, and his striking seems much improved his last time out in a win against Chris Curtis. Dolidze is taking this fight on short notice and this is by far the toughest test of his career. He’ll be dangerous early here, but I expect Hermansson to outclass him significantly after he weathers that early storm. Jack Hermansson by Decision

Sergei Pavlovich -225 vs Tai Tuivasa +180

Anthony: This matchup at heavyweight between Tai Tuivasa and Sergei Pavlovich will surely deliver fireworks. These are two massive and hard hitting men who often find the fight finished inside of the very first round. Pavlovich has earned a round one KO in four straight appearances. He is a massive, scary Russian who throws bombs with either hand. Now at 30 he has developed into a well-rounded professional, but Pavlovich is still not one I’d consider as talented on the feet as Tuivasa. The Australian has power to match that of Pavlovich with more variety in his methods of delivering it. Tuivasa is very good in clinch positions and generally uses his knees and elbows to mix in critical blows. He is also better at throwing in combination and finding timing compared to Pavlovich who is more content to just wing his shots. Tuivasa has also eaten more clean punches than Pavlovich, making me confident in his chin. Ciryl Gane did finish Tuivasa in his last appearance but that is to be expected. Tuivasa had his moments in that fight and only went down after eating copious shots from one of the best in the world. I really like the value of him as an underdog today. Tai Tuivasa by Round One KO
Nick: We have a fun heavyweight match-up here that is very likely to end inside the distance. Pavlovich has an extremely powerful left hand. He does a good job setting it up behind his jab and while he isn’t very fast, he is deceptively explosive for a heavyweight. Pavlovich is 16-1, with all sixteen wins coming via KO. He is coming off a career best victory over a former title challenger in Derrick Lewis. Similarly to Pavlovich, Tai Tuivasa’s clearest path to victory is always via the knockout punch. He was on a five fight winning streak prior to his recent loss via KO to a top contender in Ciryl Gane. Tuivasa continues to show improvement in all facets of his game, but his power is what keeps him in fights. This is an extremely volatile match-up that could go either way, so I find myself siding with the value of Tuivasa here. He’s been tested more extensively against top level competition. Tai Tuivasa by Round Two KO

Matheus Nicolau -375 vs Matt Schnell +280

Anthony: The featured bout is a flyweight matchup between Matheus Nicolau and Matt Schnell. After a grueling weight cut once again, Schnell did successfully make weight on his second attempt Friday. He is a tall flyweight that really does struggle to make the limit with consistency. Schnell however drew the hearts of many in his last time out, winning a Fight of the Year candidate against Sumudaerji. He cashed as a +220 underdog that night and proved to be just as gritty and motivated as had been thought prior. Nicolau provides a stiffer challenge to Schnell given his proficiency grappling. I rate him a better jiu jitsu practitioner than Schnell. Additionally, Nicolau has the edge on Schnell in terms of his speed moving and striking. On the feet I expect him to keep things competitive, but Nicolau will win the race to most positions when this fight does finally hit the mat. I expect him to transition far better than Schnell here and win this fight by points or possibly a late choke. Matheus Nicolau by Decision
Nick: Nicolau is an underrated striker. He does a good job moving in and out of the range of his opponents. He’s a decent grappler as well, especially defensively. The biggest knock on him is that he sometimes waits for fights to come to him. He’s coming off impressive wins over David Dvorak, Manel Kape, and Tim Elliott. He’s usually in closely contested match-ups, so the line feels a bit wide here against a tough out in Schnell. Schnell is sometimes considered a slow starter, but he has underrated power on the feet. His striking is decent, but his offensive grappling is his greatest strength as a BJJ black belt with ten of his sixteen professional wins coming by way of submission. His durability/chin is of major concern, which is likely why this line is so wide in this particular match-up. He is coming off a career best win over Sumudaerji in which he was nearly KO’d multiple times. He showed tremendous grit to find the comeback in that spot and win via submission. Both of these fighters compete at a very high level and this is certainly a match-up I could see going either way. That being said, I expect Nicolau to secure the win in this spot. He should have enough defensive grappling ability to keep this fight standing where he’ll have a significant power advantage. Matheus Nicolau by Round One KO

Rafael Dos Anjos -600 vs Bryan Barberena +400

Anthony: The co-main event is a welterweight showdown of Bryan Barberena and Rafael dos Anjos. This is an interesting scrap between two promotional veterans. Dos Anjos lost a close fight to Rafael Fiziev his last appearance as he was stopped by strikes in the fifth round. The former champion remains a heavy favorite today despite that outing. He is returning to 170 pounds for another push at title contention after two fights back at lightweight this year. While Barberena is going to be bigger than Dos Anjos by a hair, he is not nearly as technically skilled. Barberena has found a way to win his previous three fights in very gritty wars. He has the ability to make some noise today as such a large underdog, but one would think Dos Anjos limits risks here and gets Barberena onto the mat. It makes sense to shoot early and often against an opponent defending just 55 percent of shots against him. He also should be strong enough to hold Barberena down once he gets him there. Rafael Dos Anjos by Decision
Nick: Dos Anjos is a well-rounded fighter. He’s solid on the feet, but extremely talented on the mat as an advanced BJJ black belt. He does an excellent job controlling position against inferior grapplers and his striking is more technically advanced than the majority of his opponents. He’s a former champion, with notable wins over Paul Felder, Nate Diaz, Benson Henderson, Kevin Lee, and most recently Renato Moicano. He is coming off a loss to Rafael Fiziev, but Fiziev is a rising prospect and arguably one of the best in the world at 155. Dos Anjos will be moving back to welterweight here, which is where he’s had the majority of his success with the promotion. Barbarena has fought some of the toughest welterweights in the UFC. He’s primarily a brawler. While it is evident he’s past his prime, he’s still very dangerous when striking at range or out of breaks. Dos Anjos should have a cardio and grappling advantage here, but he’ll only be able to lean on that if he can protect himself early. I wouldn’t bet the favorite at the current line, but he’s very clearly the side. Rafael Dos Anjos by Round Three Submission

Kevin Holland -180 vs Stephen Thompson +145

Anthony: Tonight’s event concludes with a welterweight fight between Kevin Holland and Stephen Wonderboy Thompson. This should be a great scrap as things are primarily going to be contested on the feet. Wonderboy has lost his previous two octagon appearances while grappling heavy opponents. Gilbert Burns and Belal Muhammad enact the perfect style to blanket strikers and control minutes on the mat. Holland has shared the cage with plenty of wrestlers too and should be content to stand and trade against Thompson. Although Wonderboy appears to be declining in the back half of his career, this seems like a fight he should be favored given his superb kickboxing. Holland is a diverse and powerful striker but I worry about him in a five round chess match. Wonderboy’s footwork and timing still make him a real puzzle on the feet and Holland may have trouble finding a range where he can work effectively. This is a big test for Holland at 170 pounds as he looks to climb in a division rostering quite a lot of grapplers. While I expect him to have his moments in this bout, ultimately Wonderboy is the side I am value betting. I see him landing big shots and significantly limiting Holland’s output. Stephen Thompson by Decision
Nick: Holland has developed a reputation as one of the more exciting fighters in the UFC. He talks constantly, both insulting and congratulating his opponents for the entire time he’s in the cage. He’s a rangy and creative striker with surprising power for his frame, but he has a clear hole in his game via his takedown defense. While he struggles at times against wrestlers, he has dangerous BJJ as a blackbelt under Travis Lutter. He’s in a favorable match-up here against another striker in Stephen Thompson. Stephen Thompson is past his prime, but on the feet he is still among the class of this division. He mostly fights in an open stance, using his excellent Karate style to throw off the timing of his opponents. He is light on his feet, constantly switches and generally does an excellent job circling away from danger. If Holland chooses to lean on his grappling, he’ll have a very clear path to victory in this sport. However, it seems he’s more likely than not just going to stay on his feet and trade. This is another close fight and a tough one to call, but I see Thompson as the better striker. There is clear value on him as an underdog here, even in the twilight of his career. Stephen Thompson by Decision

-Nick Marro

Twitter: @NickMarroDFS

-Anthony Marro

Twitter: @AnthonyMarro_

Photo: UFC.com