UFC 327: Prochazka vs Ulberg – Full Card Analysis

UFC 327: Prochazka vs Ulberg – 4.11.2026 – Fight Predictions and Analysis

Welcome to our collaborative coverage of UFC 327: Prochazka vs Ulberg. We are back in Miami at the Kaseya Center for a stacked event tonight with the light heavyweight title up for grabs. Be sure to check out our full reasoning for every pick as our records will not reflect confidence in each selection. We will be picking every fight, but likely only recommend betting on a select few. 

Current Record

• Anthony: 95-33-1 (Last Year 331-183-3, 64%)
• Nick: 87-41-1 (Last Year 326-188-3, 63%)

*Fight odds were last updated from bet365 on 4-3-2026 at 9pm EST

Preliminary Card- Starts 5:30pm EST

Charles Radtke -185 vs Francisco Prado +150

• Anthony: The event begins at welterweight with this fight between Francisco Prado and Charles Radtke. This should be a competitive matchup although neither one of these fighters are very highly rated. Prado is only 23 years old but so far he seems to be extremely limited. His boxing is okay, but Prado is a bit undersized for this weight class and the smaller fighter here. Radtke has a three-inch reach advantage. The only win for Prado so far in the UFC came against a very chinny opponent in Ottman Azaitar. Prado’s other four losses do not inspire me to bet him here against a serviceable opponent. Radtke does well navigating his way through grueling fights and wearing on opponents with his pressure and wrestling. Prado will struggle to find a range here against Radtke where he can comfortably start letting his hands go. I am expecting this to be a fight that goes the distance with neither posing much of a knockout threat here on the feet. Radtke is the rightful favorite and worth betting at the current odds. He has won each fight he’s the betting favorite. Charles Radtke by Decision
• Nick: Charles Radtke is a relatively well-rounded fighter who does a good job honing in on the weaknesses of his opponents. He is 11-4 professionally, coming off a dominant submission win over Daniel Frunza back in November of 2025. Radke is 35-years old, and can be dangerous wherever his fights go. Still, there is no denying his aggressive style makes him a volatile fighter to back with any sort of confidence. Francisco Prado fights aggressively, especially early in fights. He’s more than content to exchange in a ‘fire fight’, but his defense can be compromised as a result. He has decent BJJ offensively, but his takedown entries are fairly predictable and it’s become increasingly rare we see him lean on his grappling. All of Prado’s wins have come via finish. He is 12-4 professionally, and he enters this fight on a three fight losing streak. These are two volatile fighters, but I do see Radtke as the rightful favorite. He’s the better grappler here by a wide margin and I expect he can take Prado down with relative ease. As long as he doesn’t spend too much time exchanging in a fire fight, he should be able to win this once somewhat convincingly. Charles Radtke by Decision

Kelvin Gastelum -260 vs Vicente Luque +210

• Anthony: Next is a fight at middleweight between Vincente Luque and Kelvin Gastelum. Luque is 34 years old and yet now at this stage of his career we are seeing him move up to fight at middleweight. He had been scheduled to face Kyle Daukaus here in Miami before news of Daukaus getting rescheduled to face Bo Nickal now instead. Gastelum is a much different opponent in terms of his style and strengths. Luque may have focused his training on facing a grappler but now he is competing against one of the best boxers in the division. Gastelum is going to challenge Luque here standing with his hand speed and great countering skills. Both of these men are extremely skilled strikers, but when it comes to comparing their durability it is really a no contest. Gastelum has never been knocked out despite eating huge shots all throughout his career. He has a hard cut to make this weight limit while Luque is now coming into this fight quite undersized. I do think given Luque’s chin it will be easy for Gastelum to break through here and really win this fight convincingly. Luque does not respond well once he is damaged, shelling up and throwing little to no offense of his own. Both of these fighters have their best years behind them but Gastelum can still stand his ground and win in a brawl. Three of the last six appearances for Luque did result in a loss inside the distance. Kelvin Gastelum by Decision
• Nick: Kelvin Gastelum hasn’t been all that impressive recently, but there is no denying he has shown flashes of greatness in the past. His war with Israel Adesanya is considered by many as one of the best title fights in the history of the sport. Gastelum has surprising hand speed, and impressive cardio and durability. Additionally, his boxing is undeniably at a tremendously high level. As talented as he is, Gastelum is just 2-2 across his last four fights. His defensive grappling ability seems to be regressing rather than improving and he always seems to struggle making weight. Vicente Luque is an exciting fighter who throws a lot of volume and pushes a serious pace. He’s a powerful striker with true KO power, but he sometimes over-exerts himself and leaves himself open for counters. He was once known for his excellent durability and his willingness to eat shots in exchanges, but as a 36 fight veteran it seems his durability is starting to wane at an extremely rapid pace. Gastelum can be inconsistent at times, but he is certainly the rightful favorite here. Luque is far past his prime and he’s going to be outsized in this one. Even if he survives for fifteen minutes, I expect Gastelum to outland him by a wide margin. Kelvin Gastelum by Decision

Chris Padilla -160 vs Marquel Mederos +135

• Anthony: This is a fight at lightweight between Chris Padilla and Marquel Mederos. Padilla was the only fighter that missed weight on Friday, coming into this bout two pounds heavy. He enters this matchup against Mederos riding a seven-fight winning streak. On account of the weight miss I am not going to be betting too heavily on Padilla but he was one of my favorite picks on the card before yesterday’s news. He is a very aggressive fighter that knows how to close distance and fight well against a talented striker like Mederos. It seems some people are discounting Mederos’ talent because his recent win streak has not been against great competition. However, this does appear to be a young prospect that has very good instincts when it comes to his kickboxing skills. Padilla will do well here making this fight against Mederos ugly and limiting the weapons that he can use. Padilla poses a threat to take down his opponents and really does well scrambling to strong positions on the mat. I expect Padilla to land more strikes than Mederos who has yet to be outstruck in any UFC appearance. He will be landing nasty elbows and clinch strikes that Mederos will be forced to defend against. Padilla should cruise to a victory in this spot as long as he is not injured or maligned much from cutting weight this week. Chris Padilla by Decision
• Nick: Chris Padilla is 17-6 professionally, and on a 4 fight win streak since breaking into the UFC. While not a highly regarded fighter when he broke into the promotion, he’s now on a seven fight win streak overall and he’s given a better showing of himself than anyone really expected. At 30-years old, Padilla has been fighting professionally for more than a decade. He has decent fundamentals both at striking range and on the mat, but he’s small for the division and it seems he really doesn’t have any standout skill. That being said he fights at a torrid pace and he does a good job forcing his opponents to retreat. Mederos is 11-1 professionally, coming into this fight on a nine fight win streak. He’s fought a decent level of competition regionally, primarily fighting for Fury FC. Six of his eleven professional wins have come via KO and he certainly prefers to fight on the feet at striking range. He’s coming off of three straight wins under the UFC banner, but he’s taking a considerable step up in level of opponent here against Padilla. This fight was put together on short notice and Padilla missed weight by two pounds. Mederos will be the quicker striker here and his leg kicks make him a live underdog, but I see Padilla as the rightful favorite as he’s been taking on a much higher level of opponent. As impressive as Mederos has been, we haven’t seen him tested against anyone on this level. Chris Padilla by Round Three KO

Tatiana Suarez -160 vs Lupita Godinez +135

• Anthony: Next is a fight at women’s strawweight between Tatiana Suarez and Lupita Godinez. Suarez won her last performance against Amanda Lemos at Noche UFC. It does appear that Suarez could be leaving the sport here soon after falling short in her quest for the title. She is an incredible talent, bringing elite wrestling into the octagon and smothering almost all of her competition on the mat. Suarez is now getting up there in age and missing prime years of her career due to injuries. Nonetheless I trust that Suarez can win here in what will likely be a grappling match. Godinez has largely found success throughout her UFC tenure by utilizing her own offensive grappling. It is going to be very hard for the Mexican to get any offense going here against Suarez who is so much more skillful. It is also worth noting that Suarez should have an advantage over her in terms of her size and strength. Godinez is 2-4 overall when taken down at least one time. She has also not yet won a fight when taken down more than once by her opponent. Suarez has a clear path to victory in this spot and I imagine that she does execute and wrap up Godinez here. Godinez has the better striking in this matchup but she lacks any power in her strikes to keep Suarez from moving forward and shooting right away. Tatiana Suarez by Decision
• Nick: Tatiana Suarez is best known for her olympic level wrestling ability. She averages more than five successful takedowns per fifteen minutes, and she does an excellent job controlling her opponents and dominating them on the ground. Suarez’s striking is far from refined, but it is effective enough to allow her to close range and then drag most opponents to the mat. She has notable wins over Alexa Grasso, Carla Esparza, and Jessica Andrade. As talented as she is, it seems she has past her athletic prime. At 35 years old, her speed and cardio seem to be declining from fight to fight. Lupita Godinez is a well-rounded fighter, but most of her recent success has certainly come via her grappling. Since entering the UFC, Godinez has averaged nearly 3 takedowns per fifteen minutes. Her striking continues to improve, but she absorbs nearly as many strikes as she lands. She doesn’t carry much power, but she throws compact strikes and does a good job mixing kicks into her combinations. Godinez is the better striker here, but not by a wide enough margin to keep Suarez from closing the distance on her here. As long as she’s in decent form, I see Suarez winning this fight by keeping things on the ground. Tatiana Suarez by Decision

Mateusz Gamrot -200 vs Esteban Ribovics +160

• Anthony: This should be a good fight at lightweight between Mateusz Gamrot and Esteban Ribovics. It is a clash of styles between a dominant grappler in Gamrot and solid Latin boxer in Ribovics. Both fighters live and train here in Florida and should feel at their best competing in Miami. Ribovics does appear to have solid potential but I think he will struggle to combat Gamrot’s heavy grappling pressure today. Gamrot has scored takedowns against every one of his UFC opponents. He is a strong man here at lightweight with great hips and a relentless ability to shoot for the legs. His style is not the most aesthetically pleasing but it has worked to great effect nullifying talented opponents such as Ludovit Klein, Arman Tsarukyan and Rafael dos Anjos. Gamrot has also lost to only the best fighters like Charles Oliveira in his last bout. Ribovics’ takedown defense was very poor in his promotional debut but since then he has defended a lot more takedowns than what he has given up. The first round of this fight will certainly go to Gamrot as he does score takedowns and frustrate Ribovics. The latter half of this fight will see Ribovics succumb to this pressure grappling or conversely he will start to find it becoming easier to keep this fight on the feet. This bout will probably be a decision and the judges could easily score it either way based on who lands the better offense. Gamrot will need to work hard to convincingly win rounds rather than allowing Ribovics to be the only one landing strikes and scoring with the judges. Mateusz Gamrot by Decision
• Nick: Mateusz Gamrot is an excellent chain grappler with a wide range of effective takedown entries. He does an excellent job getting low in pursuit of single legs. He has ridiculous cardio, a solid chin, and excellent instincts both scrambling and in striking exchanges. While he doesn’t really have true one-punch knockout power, he lands meaningful strikes that force his opponents to respect him no matter where the fight goes. Esteban Ribovics is 15-2 professionally, with all but two of those wins coming via finish. He’s fairly well-rounded with surprising power for his frame. He has dangerous BJJ and a decent wrestling base, but it seems he’s most content to stand and trade on the feet. He’s a rising prospect at 29 years old, coming off an impressive decision win over a tough out in Elves Brener. This is a binary fight in which Ribovics is the much better striker and Gamrot is the much better grappler. Nothing would surprise me here, but I do prefer the Gamrot side as we’ve seen him implement his game against a tougher level of opponent. Ribovics will be dangerous whenever this fight is on the feet, but I don’t expect it stays there for long. Mateusz Gamrot by Decision

Randy Brown -110 vs Kevin Holland -110

• Anthony: Here is a welterweight matchup between Kevin Holland and Randy Brown. Both of these fighters are coming off of losses and looking to earn victories here to start their 2026 campaign. Holland competed five times again last year and you never know which version arrives on the night of the fight. Holland is somebody that does compete so often that not every performance comes with a focused gameplan and solid training camp. Holland historically looks better competing at welterweight where his physical advantages are clear. Brown is a very similar style fighter to Holland, using his length to pester opponents with a lot of strikes landing from all angles. Brown has more power in his hands than Holland but I think both here can absorb a lot of shots. Holland has proven to be extremely durable, still never once KOd. He should be effective here landing against Brown in the clinch and throughout exchanges between these two at range. I also could see both men looking to mix in their grappling here rather than kickboxing for fifteen minutes. Holland is a black belt in jiu jitsu with more experience submitting opponents in comparison to Brown. This fight can end in numerous ways with either fighter capable of finishing the other. I am expecting Holland to put forth good effort in pursuit of a finish no matter where this fight takes place. By the numbers he is a slightly more accurate striker than Brown. Kevin Holland by Round Two Submission
• Nick: Randy Brown is extremely well-rounded with KO power and underrated BJJ ability. He’s very light on his feet, with excellent head movement and solid overall striking defense. He works well behind his jab, and he uses his length more effectively than most other fighters with his frame. His grappling has come a long way, both offensive and defensively, but there’s no denying he’d prefer to use his length to pick his opponents apart at range. Kevin Holland has developed a reputation as one of the more exciting fighters in the UFC. He talks constantly, both insulting and congratulating his opponents for the entire time he’s in the cage. He’s a rangy and creative striker with surprising power for his frame, but he has a clear hole in his game via his takedown defense. While he struggles at times against wrestlers, he has dangerous BJJ as a black belt under Travis Lutter. His grappling has looked a lot better overall since he made the move down to welterweight, but he’s been wildly inconsistent as he fights as often as anyone on the roster. The best version of Kevin Holland should be favored in this match-up, but it feels like a long time since we’ve seen him in peak form. This is one of the tougher fights on the card to call, but I do slightly prefer the Holland side. I’m hoping he’s locked in here coming off back-to-back losses, and Brown isn’t going to be able to lean on the same reach advantage that he normally does. Kevin Holland by Decision

Aaron Pico -280 vs Patricio Pitbull +220

• Anthony: The featured prelim is a fight at featherweight between Patricio Pitbull and Aaron Pico. Both of these men are formerly staples of the Bellator roster that always seemed destined to cross paths. Pitbull was a two weight champion in the promotion but now he is 38 years old and clearly in the final stages of his career. Hype has always followed Aaron Pico who has really rounded into the full package in terms of his offense. Pico’s wrestling is elite and his striking has caught up completely. He does very well overwhelming opponents with various attacks and a healthy dose of takedowns too. However, Pico seems to be extremely chinny as evidenced by the four KO losses on his resume. He has not been able to eat clean power shots and in his debut for the UFC last year the same issue persisted. Pico was dominating Lerone Murphy in that contender fight before getting slept via elbow in a highlight deemed Knockout of the Year. Pitbull is not a huge threat to Pico in terms of his own punching power but it is certainly a matchup where Pico again needs to keep himself safe. Wrestling and grappling this fight against Pitbull seems like the clear gameplan for Pico. He should be desperate to win today by any means necessary after getting embarrassed in his promotional debut. I am comfortable betting Pico to win this fight now that the odds are on the right side of -300. Aaron Pico by Decision
• Nick: Aaron Pico is 29 years old and 13-5 professionally, coming off a brutal KO loss in his UFC debut, As ugly as that loss was, it came against the class of the featherweight division in Lerone Murphy. Prior to that fight, Pico had spent the entirety of his professional career fighting for Bellator. A former Junior Golden Gloves Champion, Pico is an effective striker. He throws an extremely powerful left hook and he does a good job working bodyshots into his combinations. While he’s certainly dangerous on the feet, he is best known for his advanced wrestling ability as he nearly qualified for the 2016 Olympics. Pico is a gifted athlete and he’s strong for the division, but his chin and general durability are more of a weakness than a strength. A former Bellator Champion at both featherweight and lightweight, Pitbull already has notable wins over Michael Chandler and AJ McKee Jr. He’s a well-rounded fighter, and he generally does an excellent job exploiting the flaws of his opponents. He’s coming off his first win under the UFC banner, which came via decision against a tough out in Dan Ige. He is now 1-1 in the UFC, but at 38-years old there is no denying the fact he has passed his athletic prime. Pico’s chin makes him vulnerable here as a heavy favorite, but he should be able to outclass this version of Pitbull no matter where this one goes. The age gap here is significant. Aaron Pico by Decision

Main Card- Starts 9:00pm EST

Cub Swanson -110 vs Nate Landwehr -110

• Anthony: Starting the main card is this fight at featherweight between Cub Swanson and Nate Landwehr. It appears that this will be the retirement fight for Swanson who is now competing at age 42. The veteran of 45 total fights made his WEC debut back in 2007. He has been honored with fourteen performance bonuses and a Hall of Fame spot for his battle with Doo Ho Choi at UFC 206. Landwehr has been competing more consistently than Swanson and actually may be the less durable athlete in this matchup. Both men have tremendous wear on their bodies from many bloody wars. Swanson is more technically skilled in terms of his overall boxing but not quite as hyper or quick to engage when compared to Landwehr. I also give Landwehr the edge grappling in this fight with much better ground skills than Swanson. However, I do not anticipate we see much wrestling in this matchup with both men content to swing and look for another bonus payout tonight. This fight is one of many near pick’em on the card that can end in a variety of ways. Landwehr is susceptible to getting hit but I do not think Swanson really poses a clear threat to knocking him out. Landwehr should be able to pressure forward and outwork Swanson, forcing him to fight all the way to a decision here at the end of his career. Nate Landwehr by Decision
• Nick: Nate Landwehr is a brawler, but he’s fairly well-rounded. He likes to fight on the feet, but he has a solid wrestling base and his overall athleticism allows him to escape tough positions against relatively advanced grapplers. He’s dangerous everywhere offensively, but his fighting IQ has put him in dangerous positions in the past. His kill-or-be-killed style makes him a dangerous fighter to back in general, but it’s that same style that makes him a fan favorite and one of the more exciting fighters to watch outside of the rankings at featherweight. He’s far past his prime, but Cub Swanson is a legend with wins over the likes of Dustin Poirier, Charles Oliveira, and Chad Mendes. He’s one of the more accomplished featherweights in the history of the UFC. Swanson has advanced technical ability both striking and in grappling exchanges. He has advanced BJJ, but he’s most advanced to stand and trade as his punching power is his most notable attribute. At 42-years-old, Swanson’s durability is certainly of some concern here as he was KO’d in two of his last three losses. Still, I do expect he can pull off the win here as he’s the longer and better technical striker in this match-up. I’d consider backing Landwehr if I thought he might grapple, but I expect Swanson should be able to turn back the clock one last time. Cub Swanson by Round Two KO

Dominick Reyes -150 vs Johnny Walker +125

• Anthony: Next is a light heavyweight matchup between Dominick Reyes and Johnny Walker. These are two of the division’s biggest and most explosive offensive dynamos. I am excited to handicap this matchup as I very often bet against both of these men. Both were legitimate contenders long ago but now I find each far too susceptible to the knockout after years of damage facing some of the best fighters in the world. Reyes’ last four losses have all come by knockout inside of two rounds. Walker also has a total of six career losses coming by knockout. He has been on many highlight reels as fights normally end with Walker laying flat stiff at the end. I will target betting against the chin of these fighters once again at UFC 327. The under 1.5 rounds is my favorite bet on the entire card. These two could certainly last longer than the listed total suggests, but I think we are likely going to see two strikers collide very early in round one. Reyes is technically a bit better than Walker but again this fight will be decided by who lands first. From the southpaw stance I think Reyes will find his range a bit faster than Walker, landing heavy body kicks and then allowing himself to throw his hands. It would be very surprising to me if this one does last more than two total rounds. Dominick Reyes by Round One KO
• Nick: Dominik Reyes’ career has been on a bit of a decline, most recently suffering an ugly KO loss to card headliner Carlos Ulbert. In spite of his struggles, he is still best known for his outstanding performance against one of the greatest of all time in Jon Jones back in 2020. Reyes did an excellent job striking at range in that title fight. He threw extremely effective counters and he kept things close on the scorecards for the entirety of five rounds. Reyes is athletic and an extremely dangerous striker at range. He’s a competent grappler with decent BJJ and quality overall conditioning, but his durability has proven to be a major weakness in most of his losses. Johnny Walker is extremely gifted in terms of athletic ability, but his fighting IQ leaves a lot to be desired. He carries serious power in all of his limbs, but he’s very hittable in exchanges. He’s recently shifted camps from SBG Ireland to Xtreme Couture in Vegas. Many felt SBG made Walker too tentative as most of his success had come as a wild and aggressive fighter. Walker’s chin is likely the difference in this match-up. His durability seems completely shot, and while he is coming off an impressive win over Mingyang Zhang he’s extremely volatile in general. These are two glass cannons with potent power offensively and terrible durability defensively. Anything could happen in this one, but I slightly prefer the Reyes side as the more technically advanced and measured of the two. Either way, I expect this ends inside the distance. Dominick Reyes by Round One KO

Curtis Blaydes -120 vs Josh Hokit +100

• Anthony: The featured bout is this heavyweight contest between Josh Hokit and Curtis Blayes. Hokit is an 8-0 professional who earned Performance of the Night bonuses in each of his first two UFC appearances. Here Hokit is already getting tossed into deeper waters facing a staple of the division top ten in Curtis Blaydes. This fight is interesting since Hokit has not been tested by anywhere near this level of an opponent before. Hokit is a tremendous athlete with great reaction time and handspeed, but we have not yet seen him in a mixed martial arts contest against a true heavyweight that can push him. Blaydes has had some durability concerns throughout his career but otherwise this is a heavyweight that always brings the fight and challenges opponents with his offensive wrestling. On paper, Hokit figures to really struggle to grapple effectively here against a wrestler of Blaydes’ caliber. We will see good takedown defense from Blaydes here and strong positional switches along the cage when these two men are grappling. Hokit only weighed in at 233 pounds while Blaydes came in near the heavyweight limit. I think that Hokit is going up against an opponent that can really expose his weaknesses today. I think the one chance for Hokit to win here as the underdog is to rely on his boxing and scoring a knockdown against Blaydes. Of course at this weight anything can happen but at such close odds it makes sense to take Blaydes given his experience and technical skills. Curtis Blaydes by Round Three KO
• Nick: Curtis Blaydes is primarily a wrestler and one of the best heavyweights in the world in terms of grappling ability. He has excellent takedown entries and averages more takedowns per minute than any other heavyweight in UFC history. He continues to show considerable improvements on the feet, but his speed and durability do seem to be declining to a degree and he’s been out of action since having surgery on his MCL, an injury he sustained in his last fight, a narrow decision win over Rizvan Kuniev. Josh Hokit is 8-0 professionally and 28 years old, with five wins coming via KO and three coming via submission. He’s dangerous offensively and has shown an ability to finish a fight anywhere, but it’s tough to gauge his level as he’s been taking on a relatively mediocre level of opponent. He’s a credentialed wrestler with solid cardio for a heavyweight. He can be hittable, but he carries true KO power and he’s willing to close distance and engage in a firefight. Hokit has been impressive and he’s likely to have a speed advantage here, but this is a ridiculous step up in terms of level of competition. Blaydes is long and has an underrated jab, which I expect he can use to frustrate Hokit here. Additionally, Blaydes should have a considerable cardio advantage. Hokit will be very live to find a quick knockout, but if he doesn’t I expect Blaydes can outclass him as this fight wears on. Curtis Blaydes by Round Two KO

Azamat Murzakanov -220 vs Paulo Costa +180

• Anthony: In the co-main event it will be Paulo Costa facing Azamat Murzakanov at light heavyweight. These are two very powerful strikers that will likely try to exploit one another here on the feet. Costa looked brilliant in his most recent performance, beating Roman Kopylov last summer. Costa is moving up to 205 pounds for this fight after a career largely competing at middleweight. The weight cut has always been an issue for Costa and now he should finally be fighting at natural weight where he is the most comfortable. This should allow Costa to be more free and aggressive without fear of tiring out in rounds two and three. Costa never really tends to struggle in terms of his cardio but he does occasionally take breaks from throwing out his own offense. It is going to be an issue here allowing Murzakanov to get any room to work and set up his combinations. The Russian is still undefeated at 16-0 with twelve victories by knockout. His 2025 campaign included wins against Brendson Ribeiro as well as Aleksandar Rakic. This is a really dangerous fighter that could propel himself into title conversations very soon. Costa is known for his chin and durability so stopping him would really be extremely noteworthy. I think Murzakanov will be able to connect here and pay bettors’ KO props once again. Costa needs to be careful here moving his feet and keeping Murzakanov out of the pocket. I think Costa will eventually get tagged here eating hooks and other combination strikes along the fence. Azamat Murzakanov by Round Two KO
• Nick: Azamat Murzakanov is well-rounded with surprising speed and power for his frame. He’s certainly capable of winning fights on the feet, but his most dominant performances seem to come when he’s able to mix in his wrestling. Murzakanov enters this match-up undefeated, with an excellent 16-0 record and five wins under the UFC banner. He’s getting up there in age and he’s been somewhat inactive, but there is no denying his overall skill. Paulo Costa is a volume striker with solid power and speed. He’s extremely aggressive and can eat shots to throw them, as we see in most of his wins. He’s coming off a solid win over Roman Kopylov, but he’s moving up a weight class here to see how he fares at light heavyweight. He has decent grappling ability, but it is rare we see him lean on that part of his game as he certainly prefers to stand and trade. Costa is extremely durable and he’s going to put out more volume on the feet here. Still, I expect Murzakanov will have a few big moments where he’s landing massive shots and hurting his opponents. The line feels wide here, but I’m siding with the favorite. Azamat Murzakanov by Decision

Jiri Prochazka -110 vs Carlos Ulberg -110

• Anthony: The main event is an epic fight between Carlos Ulberg and Jiri Prochazka for the vacant light heavyweight championship. Prochazka was an obvious choice to compete tonight in Miami for a belt that was once his. This is the first title shot for Ulberg who enters on an impressive streak of nine straight wins. Since he first emerged from City Kickboxing, I have claimed that Ulberg will one day be a champion too. He is a fun striker to watch, landing with lethal power and averaging 6.54 significant strikes landed per minute. Ulberg is great from the orthodox stance but his left hand is even more powerful than his right. It will be a great matchup between fighters that always prefer to compete at kickboxing range. I find it hard to go against Prochazka as his only two losses this entire decade came against the champion Alex Pereira. He has so much more experience than Ulberg. Prochazka seems to always dig deep and rally if his opponents are able to connect with early success. However, it is a concern just how often Prochazka gets hit. Ulberg is similar to Pereira since he can really place precise strikes that will hurt Jiri. I think it will be a left hook landing that ultimately wobbles Prochazka and allows Ulberg to win via early knockout. Prochazka leaves his chin exposed too often and Ulberg will be able to place a lead hook or check counter against him. I also think he has the durability to win this fight by decision although we have not seen Ulberg tested for five rounds ever before. And New. Carlos Ulberg by Round Two KO
• Nick: This matchup is for the vacant UFC Light Heavyweight Championship as the champion Alex Pereira is moving up to heavyweight. Jiri Prochazka, a former division champion, tends to come out aggressive in his fights, making big movements around the cage and swinging wildly. He has shown stellar power and an ability to close the distance on his opponents both quickly and violently. He sometimes over-exerts on punches in exchanges and leaves himself open to counter shots, but he’s as dangerous of a fighter as there is in the world at 205 pounds. Carlos Ulberg does a good job mixing in feints to trap his opponents. He’s a decorated kickboxer with knockout power in all of his limbs, but he sometimes leaves himself open to take damage in exchanges. He trains with City Kickboxing along with former middleweight champion, Israel Adesanya under Head Coach Eugene Bareman. He’s coming off nine consecutive wins under the UFC banner, most recently knocking out Dominick Reyes back in September of 2025. There is no denying the fact that Ulberg is the better technical striker here and he’s going to be dangerous to land a fight-ending counter. That being said, Prochazka is going to push a pace and make this ugly which is where he finds most of his success. Anything could happen in this one, but I see Prochazka landing a KO after weathering an early storm. And New. Jiri Prochazka by Round Three KO

-Nick Marro

Twitter: @NickMarroDFS

-Anthony Marro

Twitter: @AnthonyMarro_

Photo: UFC.com