UFC Vegas 105: Murphy vs Emmett – 4.5.2025 – Fight Predictions and Analysis
Welcome to our collaborative coverage of UFC Vegas 105: Murphy vs Emmett. This event is back at The Apex in Las Vegas. Be sure to check out our full reasoning for every pick as our records will not reflect confidence in each selection. We will be picking every fight, but likely only recommend betting on a select few.
Current Record
- Anthony: 82-49-1 (Last Year 321-191-0, 63%)
- Nick: 80-51-1 (Last Year 316-196-0, 62%)
*Fight odds were last updated from Bet99 on 4-4-2025 at 10pm EST
Preliminary Card- Starts 6:00pm EST
Talita Alencar -110 vs Vanessa Demopoulos -110
- Anthony: The card today begins at women’s strawweight with Vanessa Demopoulos and Talita Alencar. Demopoulos really has a knack for winning close decisions in the UFC. The judges have given her the nod in four of her previous five decisions. Oftentimes this comes despite Demopoulos losing in terms of strikes landed or effective grappling techniques. Demopoulos is able to win thanks to her high motor and ability to continuously move forward. She is also very good at securing key moments in her fights. Alencar is far more technically skilled than Demopoulos when it comes to her offensive grappling. Alencar is certainly a highly skilled BJJ practitioner but Demopoulos has proven more than capable of winning fights with her own wrestling. She lost her last fight against Jaqueline Amorim but I rate her jiu jitsu a bit higher than that of Alencar. I am expecting this fight to go to the scorecards and for that reason I will side with Demopoulos. She should be able to defend the early submission attempts that she may see. Vanessa Demopoulos by Decision
- Nick: Vanessa Demopoulos was recently awarded her BJJ black belt. She has a powerful wrestling base, showing enough ability to score takedowns against lower level opponents. She can be an effective striker, but her defense is questionable at best. She eats a lot of shots against higher-volume strikers, and offensively she often leaves herself open to counter shots. She’s coming off a submission loss to Jaqueline Amorim in which she underestimated her opponents grappling ability. In this match-up with Alencar, she’d be wise not to make that same mistake again. Talita Alencar is a credentialed grappler who has scored a submission in three of her five professional victories. She’s very dangerous if she can take her opponent to the mat, but she’s small for the division and her striking is far from refined. Additionally, she has had cardio issues on several occasions since she began fighting professionally. She’s small for the division, but she always has a chance to find a submission if she can take her opponents to the mat. This is a low level matchup and thus a low confidence play. I prefer the Alencar side as Demopoulos has just a 27 percent takedown defense in the UFC. Talita Alencar by Round Two Submission
Martin Buday -170 vs Uran Satybaldiev +145
- Anthony: Next is a heavyweight fight between Uran Satybaldiev and Martin Buday. This is a short notice booking after Buday was originally scheduled to face Kennedy Nzechukwu. Satybaldiev makes his debut here after taking the bout on just days’ notice. He is the LFA light heavyweight champion with a perfect record of 9-0. He is an extremely skilled fighter out of Kyrgyzstan, but the competition he has faced so far is not so good. I think he is going to be quite undersized here taking this fight up at heavyweight. Satybaldiev does have the frame to compete in this weight class, but without preparing with a proper fight camp I do not think this debut will go well. He will not be able to wrestle down Buday or threaten him at all on the mat. Buday is a big and plodding heavyweight that uses his size to control opponents. He is very good at holding fighters against the cage and slowly connecting with his own offensive striking. He does great in the clinch and I expect Buday to wear out Satybaldiev here over the course of three rounds. He is not the most well-conditioned heavyweight but I do expect him to keep a better pace here in this fight. It is a much easier matchup for Buday compared to his original draw into Nzechukwu. Martin Buday by Decision
- Nick: Uran Satybaldiev will be making his UFC debut here, taking this fight on just a few days’ notice as a late replacement for Kennedy Nzechukwu. Satybaldiev is 9-0 professionally, and on March 6th he captured the LFA Light Heavyweight Championship. He’s moving up a weight class to take on Buday here as a means to break into the promotion. He’s mostly well-rounded, but most of his success has come at striking range. Six of his nine professional wins have come by way of Knockout. While it is true he may have a skill advantage in this match-up, there is no denying he’s going to be out-sized here against Buday. Martin Buday is primarily a wrestler with excellent ground and pound ability, but he is also totally content to play out fights at striking range. He has solid footwork and decent power for his frame, but he is sometimes slow and plodding and it seems he’s often too content to wait for fights to come to him. He is 5-1 in the UFC and 14-2 professionally, coming off a narrow decision win over an aging vet in Andrei Arlovski. Satybaldiev may have technical advantages here, but I don’t expect he’ll be able to overcome the size difference in this match-up. Buday is a dangerous fighter to back as a favorite, but I expect he’ll find a way to win here. He’s going to outweigh his opponent by more than 40 lbs in this match-up. Martin Buday by Decision
Victor Henry -210 vs Pedro Falcao +170
- Anthony: This is a matchup at bantamweight between Pedro Falcao and Victor Henry. Both men are coming off losses in their most recent showings. Falcao lost his UFC debut against Victor Hugo but it is worth noting that he took that fight on rather short notice. I expect to see an improved version of Falcao today with his boxing more on point. Henry is very good at switching stances and finding safe entries into the pocket. Henry also has above average wrestling, although he sometimes neglects to use it. I think he will certainly rely on his grappling as this fight dictates, specifically if Falcao is able to get him hurt. The 37-year-old has never been knocked out through his long professional career. I think he will be able to handle the best shots from Falcao and outwork him over the course of this bout. Henry averages 7.66 significant strikes landed per minute and a much better workrate than Falcao. He is more dangerous at range and benefits from a two-inch edge in reach for this matchup. I firmly believe Henry is the rightful betting favorite in this fight. Victor Henry by Decision
- Nick: Victor Henry finds most of his success pressuring his opponents and wearing them down with volume. He got his UFC contract late in his career, but he has found a lot of success in respectable Japanese promotions via RIZIN and Pancrase. He’s a talented catch/counter-wrestler, training under Josh Barnett. He prefers to stand and trade, but he’s excellent in scrambles and does a good job using the momentum of his opponent to find opportunistic positions offensively. Pedro Falcao is 16-4 professionally, coming off a loss in his UFC debut to a tough out in Victor Hugo. Having spent most of his career fighting for Shooto Brazil, Falcao is a dangerous grappler as a credentialed BJJ black belt. He’s dangerous on the feet offensively, but his aggressive style has made him hittable in exchanges. Falcao will be dangerous if this fight hits the mat, and he’s going to have a speed and athleticism advantage in general in this match-up. That being said, I do see Henry as the rightful favorite. He’s the better technical striker and he’s solid in scrambles. I expect he can stay safe if this fight hits the mat, and on the feet he should outland Falcao significantly. Victor Henry by Decision
Loma Lookboonmee -900 vs Istela Nunes +600
- Anthony: Next is a fight at women’s strawweight between Loma Lookboonmee and Istela Nunes. I consider this an easy matchup for Lookboonmee on paper given the skills that she has displayed already through eight fights in the promotion. Lookboonmee has excellent muay thai, doing her best work in the clinch. She is also aggressive in her pursuit of takedowns, helping lead her to victory in a lot of recent bouts. She is undersized when compared to Nunes and I believe that takedowns could come in handy here to nullify that size advantage. Nunes could perform well in the first round of this bout but afterwards I expect it to be all Loma. She has really shown more mature performances with every walk into the octagon. Nunes is not very sound defensively and she has lost all four of her appearances in the UFC. She was finished in three of her last four fights and I really do not think she belongs at this level. Despite my confidence I am not sure I’ll get to the window with Loma’s betting odds closing near -700. You can take a chance betting Lookboonmee by finish instead, a prop that seems likely as Nunes has been seen quitting in several fights before. Loma Lookboonmee by Round Three KO
- Nick: Lookboonmee is known for her advanced Muay-Thai fighting style. She’s a volume striker who throws at a consistent pace and most of her success comes exchanging in the clinch. She has shown continuous improvements at the UFC level, and she’s only lost close fights against top-level talent. As talented as she is, she is small for the division and it is notable she’s been out of action for more than a year. Isleta Nunes is primarily a striker. Offensively she’s effective both at range and in the clinch. She works well behind her jab, but her cardio seems to be more of a weakness than a strength and her grappling defense is suspect at best. Nunes is coming off four consecutive losses under the UFC banner, and she’ll likely be cut from the promotion if she can’t pull off the upset here. She has been out of action since 2023, after suffering an ugly arm injury against Victoria Dudakova just over 30 seconds into that fight. Lookboonmee is the rightful favorite in this match-up. She has faced the higher level of competition and she’s far more experienced. The line is ridiculous and Nunes will be dangerous early, but beyond that I expect she’s in trouble here. Loma Lookboonmee by Decision
Daniel Frunza -150 vs Rhys McKee +125
- Anthony: This is a compelling matchup at welterweight between Rhys McKee and Daniel Frunza. It is the debut for Frunza who earned his contract on Dana White’s Contender Series. He is a daunting power puncher with solid stamina and an aggressive approach very early. Frunza will be swinging his hands here in hopes of finding another win via knockout. Eight of his nine total wins have come by knockout and apart from that power, Frunza does not pose much threat elsewhere. McKee really has dominated all of the competition he faces in Cage Warriors. Only upper tier UFC fighters have really given McKee fits in the cage. Skeletor is a problem for lower volume strikers as he continues to connect with punches thanks to his long reach. His boxing combinations are fluid and McKee normally builds as fights go late. I think this is a very favorable matchup for McKee as he works on the outside and evades Frunza’s big overhand attempts. He is going to be the much more technically skilled striker and McKee also holds the advantage if and when this bout hits the mat. I think his consistent volume will be key to stopping Frunza today. He is a solid value play here as he closes the betting underdog. Rhys McKee by Round Three Submission
- Nick: Daniel Frunza will be making his UFC debut here, coming off an impressive Contender Series win over Vadym Kutsyi as a moderate underdog. He won that fight by ground and pound KO in the second round. Eight of his nine professional wins have come via KO. At 30-years old, he is 9-2 professionally. Primarily a striker, he has shown an ability to land timely and devastating strikes with all of his limbs. He does a good job mixing elbows into his combinations and his takedown defense does seem to be improving. McKee is only 29-years old, but this is already his second stint in the UFC. He fell to tough competition in Khamzat Chimaev and Alex Morono before he was cut in 2020. He is now on another two fight losing streak, and there’s a chance he’s fighting for his job here as he has yet to secure his first win in the promotion. McKee has a long frame, but his best striking takes place in the clinch. He has a solid chin and he’s very durable, but he sometimes waits for fights to come to him and his defensive grappling is average at best. This should be a competitive match-up, but I’m siding with McKee as the underdog. His durability should keep him in this fight if he gets caught early. He’s going to throw more volume here, and he may have a grappling advantage if he chooses to lean on it. Rhys McKee by Decision
Dione Barbosa -1000 vs Diana Belbita +650
- Anthony: This is a women’s flyweight matchup between Dione Barbosa and Diana Belbita. Barbosa had a loss in her most recent octagon appearance but that came against a great test in Miranda Maverick. The American’s wrestling defense proved to be a problem for Barbosa who could not score the takedowns that she needed. This fight will likely see Barbosa execute a gameplan much better against an opponent in Belbita with poor takedown defense. Belbita is a good kickboxer but she struggles to keep her fights at a range where she can work. Bebita has defended just 65 percent of opponent takedowns since joining the UFC. Barbosa is a late convert to mixed martial arts after being a standout judoka. It should be rather easy for Barbosa to drag Belbita down to the mat and find herself a victory. Belbita has lost four professional fights by submission with the most recent defeat coming against Molly McCann. Barbosa has the skills to slice through her guard as soon as this fight hits the ground. Dione Barbosa by Round Two Submission
- Nick: Dione Barbosa is 32 years old and 7-3 professionally, coming off a hard fought decision loss to a tough out in Miranda Maverick. She is primarily a grappler, with three of her seven professional wins coming via submission. She looks to grapple in most of her fights. She has a dangerous offensive BJJ, but on the feet she seems to take a lot of damage in exchanges. When Diana Belbita is at her best, she works well behind her jab and uses it to set up straight shots. She’s relatively well-rounded, with six of her fifteen professional wins coming via KO and four coming via submission. Belbita averages more than six significant strikes landed per minute, but she absorbs more than six per minute as well. She’s coming off back-to-back losses, and there’s a decent chance she’s fighting to hold onto her roster spot in this match-up. The price feels wide here, but Barbosa is the side. She’s the better athlete and the much better grappler in this matchup. I expect she can find a submission here without much resistance. Dione Barbosa by Round One Submission
Main Card- Starts 9:00pm EST
Torrez Finney -300 vs Robert Valentin +240
- Anthony: The main card begins with this middleweight bout between Robert Valentin and Torrez Finney. This debut performance for Finney has been a long time coming after three previous appearances on Dana White’s Contender Series. Despite winning in all three of those matchups, Finney has had to continue to grow and develop before getting approval from the boss. I think he is a very solid athlete with a great shot at excelling in the UFC. Finney is built like a truck for the 185 pound division. He is stout with a huge upper body and big power in his hands. It is very difficult for opponents to get low against Finney and find ways to take him off of his feet. Normally he fights with a rather measured approach, meeting opponents standing and using his size to push them around. I think this is an easy debut fight for Finney who is much stronger and more dynamic than Valentin. I have not been impressed much by Valentin’s skills in the several fights that I have seen him. He has been stopped three times before and Finney can definitely hurt him here in this matchup. I am not sure Valentin can land a consistent offense or really slow down Finney’s own attacks. I expect him to get the win here as he closes a moderate betting favorite. Torrez Finney by Round Two KO
- Nick: Torrez Finney will be making his UFC debut in this match-up, coming off a Contender Series win by way of ground and pound KO over Abdellah Er-Ramy. He is 10-0 professionally, and one of only fighters to win three times on Contender Series before being awarded a contract. Finney is short for the division, an explosive athlete as his short frame is absolutely loaded with muscle. Primarily a grappler, Finney finds most of his success just powering his opponents to the mat. He has KO power on the feet, but his striking is far from refined. Making his UFC debut here off a loss, Robert Valentin was the runner up in The Ultimate Fighter Season 32 tournament at middleweight. He is relatively well-rounded, but most of his success comes on the feet. He’s a cerebral muay thai striker, who does a good job landing damaging shots both at range and in the clinch. He’s aggressive in his approach, throwing jumping and spinning attacks both frequently and aggressively. He carries power in all of his limbs, but his hyper aggressive style often sacrifices defense for offense. He takes a lot of damage in exchanges, but he’s generally durable. His takedown defense is somewhat questionable, but he has excellent Judo and dangerous offensive BJJ. This is another low level match-up, which makes it a volatile fight to place a prediction on. Valentin is going to be the much taller fighter here and he’s a considerably better striker compared to Finney, but he has struggled against grapplers for most of his professional career. While the price seems inflated, I do expect Finney can secure the takedowns he needs here to eventually find a finish by ground and pound. Torrez Finney by Round Two KO
Luis Gurule -250 vs Ode Osbourne +200
- Anthony: Next is a flyweight matchup between Ode Osbourne and Luis Gurule. This is the UFC debut for Gurule who earned a contract on Dana White’s Contender Series. He is a 10-0 professional with solid power for this weight class. Gurule has short reach as is but this fight with Osbourne will see that further exaggerated. I rate his boxing skills higher than Obsourne’s but this will be a dicey matchup for him on the feet due to the size difference. Gurule will benefit from taking Osbourne to the mat in this meeting. We’ve seen Obsourne finished in all but one of his professional losses. He tends to lose the race to winning positions and I could see that costing him here. Osbourne can find success here using long teeps and jabs to keep distance early. He is a southpaw striker with elusive power so it would not surprise me to see him win here as the underdog. However, Gurule seems like a good prospect on the rise and this should be an easy draw for him as he begins to climb the ladder. Osbourne has too many grappling deficiencies and Gurule has the power to overwhelm him quickly as soon as he gains top position. Osbourne defends just 63 percent of his opponent’s takedown attempts. Gurule will be able to win thanks to his strength and superior wrestling skills. Luis Gurule by Round Two Submission
- Nick: Luis Gurule will be making his UFC debut here, coming off a hard fought decision win over a tough out in Nick Piccininni on Contender Series. Gurule is 31 years old and 10-0 professionally, with five of those wins coming by way of knockout. Primarily a striker, Gurule is quick in and out of breaks with surprising power for his frame. Ode Osbourne has crisp striking and he does an excellent job switching stances. He has a powerful back-step power kick; he does a good job diversifying his strikes, and more often than not he’s able to lean on his athleticism to drown his opponents. He works well at range, but he sometimes leaves himself open to counters in exchanges. His wrestling leaves a lot to be desired, but he does carry an arsenal of dangerous submissions if his fights hit the mat. As talented as he is, Osbourne is now on a three fight losing streak. Osbourne’s durability and questionable grappling defense make him a difficult fighter to back with any sort of confidence. He’ll be the bigger fighter here and he has a considerable experience advantage, but Gurule’s durability advantage will likely be the deciding factor in this one. Luis Gurule by Round Two KO
Brad Tavares -170 vs Gerald Meershaert +145
- Anthony: This is a matchup at middleweight between Gerald Meershaert and Brad Tavares. I am excited to see this fight between two of the division’s true veteran athletes. Tavares made his debut back in 2011 after a good showing on The Ultimate Fighter. He is consistent in what he does, eating shots like a tough Hawaiin and showcasing great boxing technique. Tavares has no problem fighting at his range and taking what he can get with jabs and kicks on the outside. I expect him to take that approach here against a very dangerous grappler. Meerschaert is chasing the UFC submission record with 11 already, and 29 total submissions as a professional. He will likely attempt to submit Tavares here today but that is much easier said than done as he would be the first to ever do it. Tavares has always had elite takedown defense and very good knowledge of jiu jitsu. It seems much more likely that he hurt Meershaert standing than getting caught in a flukey choke here late. I expect him to build an early lead in this matchup and coast to a win via decision. Meershaert has been hurt by great strikers before but I do not think Tavares has the power to finish him. Brad Tavares by Decision
- Nick: Brad Tavares is a talented vet who has been a staple of the middleweight division for years. He does a good job mixing in leg kicks to keep his opponents at range. He works well behind his jab, he throws meaningful shots and we’ve seen his chin tested on multiple occasions. Tavares is a competent wrestler, especially defensively. Still, that’s going to be a major key for him in this match-up. Gerald Meerschaert is well-rounded, but most of his professional wins have come via submission. He’s a highly skilled BJJ black belt with a seemingly endless arsenal of attacks on the ground. As good as Meerschaert is on the mat, he sometimes has trouble getting the fight there. His takedown entries leave a lot to be desired and his wrestling ability is questionable at best. The line feels wide here as Meersshaert is almost always live as an underdog. If he can get this fight to the mat, he’ll have a chance to pull off the upset. That being said, Tavares has made a career of keeping his fights standing. I expect he’ll do so once again here on his way to a decision. Brad Tavares by Decision
Chang Ho Lee -145 vs Cortavious Romious +120
- Anthony: This is a good matchup at bantamweight between Chang Ho Lee and Cortavious Romious. At Friday’s weigh-ins Romious was more than three pounds heavy. Lee is the more experienced professional with a better overall resume. He was able to make weight without issue and I think he can set a pace in this matchup that Romious will struggle to match. In terms of their striking, I do think that Lee is the more technically skilled boxer. Romious has more power in his punches but Lee throws with consistent volume and often finds a home for his jab. Romious benefits from winning a lot of his own fights by taking opponents to the ground. Lee has the better wrestling fundamentals and more timely takedown attempts. I am expecting him to outwork Romious here in a fight largely contested on the ground. Romious will perhaps threaten with some submission attempts but I do not think he will find much prolonged grappling success. He could have issues maintaining his cardio too after a botched weight cut. Chang Ho Lee by Decision
- Nick: Chang Ho Lee is 10-1 professionally, with four wins coming via KO and two coming via submission. He’s 30-years old and relatively well-rounded, but he hasn’t been tested extensively against top level competition. Lee was awarded a UFC contract after winning the Road to UFC tournament at bantamweight, securing a win in the final by decision over Long Xiao back in June of 2022. Cortavious Romious is coming off of a loss in his UFC debut to Gaston Bolanos. He is 9-3 professionally, with five of those wins coming by way of submission and two coming by KO. At 31-years old it seems Romious is entering his athletic prime, but his kill-or-be-kill style has led him to inconsistent results. At his best, he does a good job working his opponents to the mat and forcing them into creative submissions. At his worst, he’s chaotic and lacks the defense required to find success at the UFC level. The low level nature of this match-up makes it a difficult fight to call. These are two developing prospects, and they both seem to make mistakes more than they should be at this level. I do see Lee as the rightful favorite, but this is a low confidence play and an extremely volatile match-up. Chang Ho Lee by Decision
Joanderson Brito -235 vs Pat Sabatini +190
- Anthony: The co-main event is a fight at featherweight between Pat Sabatini and Joanderson Brito. This is a compelling clash of styles between striker and grappler. Brito is coming off a split decision loss in his last octagon appearance, bringing his UFC record to 5-2. All five wins for Brito have come by stoppage, largely thanks to his powerful striking. He has good size at this weight and fights well using his long range weapons. I certainly rate his striking much higher than Sabatini and it would not surprise me to see him win this fight by knockout too. However, Sabatini is a highly skilled grappler with a clear edge when his fights hit the ground. Brito is often content to fight off of his back once he has been wrestled down. He is not very urgent at addressing his position and working back to the feet. Sabatini is a black belt under Daniel Gracie and a wizard when it comes to his jiu jitsu. I expect him to overpower Brito as long as he can successfully get that first takedown early. Both of Sabatini’s recent wins in the promotion have come by way of the choke. There is great value on Sabatini at +190 odds or better. I like his chances of winning this fight by submission, but he is also going to have a good chance if this matchup does see the scorecards. Brito has lost on both occasions that he has gone the full three round distance. Pat Sabatini by Round Two Submission
- Nick: Joanderson Brito is coming off a narrow loss via decision to William Gomis, which snapped a five fight win streak. He’s going to be looking to get back into the win column here in an interesting stylistic match-up against Pat Sabatini. Brito is known to be extremely aggressive early in fights. He throws explosive strikes, he has powerful takedown entries, and dangerous BJJ as well. His hyper-aggressive style allows him to overwhelm many of his opponents, but it does make him tough to rely on if he can’t secure an early finish. Pat Sabatini is a well-rounded fighter with decent striking ability and slick BJJ. He is excellent in scrambles, he has shown solid body-lock takedown ability and his greatest strength comes via his strong wrestling base and takedown entries. Sabatini is coming off an impressive submission win over a tough out in Jonathan Pearce. While he hasn’t fought since October of 2014, he has been staying active taking and winning grappling matches for Fury Pro Grappling. This fight likely plays out closer than the line suggests, but I see Brito having the bigger moments and potentially finding a finish. Sabatini will be live for the upset if he can control Brito on the mat for fifteen minutes, but every second on the feet he’ll be in danger of suffering a knockout. Joanderson Brito by Round One KO
Lerone Murphy -310 vs Josh Emmett +250
- Anthony: The main event is a matchup at featherweight between Lerone Murphy and Josh Emmett. We have seen Emmett as a gatekeeper here at 145 pounds for a while but Murphy is now ready to break through and ascend into the division’s elite. He is still unbeaten and putting together more impressive wins with every subsequent outing. Emmett has good boxing but over the course of twenty five minutes Murphy should be able to outclass him. Murphy seems to have taken some leaps forwards fighting with more aggression and poise. He is averaging 4.80 significant strikes landed per minute and I much prefer his range of weapons to Emmet’s strict boxing. Murphy is also a capable offensive grappler as showcased in his previous three fights. Emmet has occasionally used wrestling to his advantage but I do not worry about him outmuscling Murphy who has the far better technique. Murphy will shoot for takedowns here in order to get some reprieve from Emmett’s power. He does not have to fight a perfect bout standing as long as he can burn a few minutes off the clock down on the mat. I think Murphy should be able to mix things up here and keep Emmett from ever putting together real offensive momentum. I could also see Emmett outlasting Murphy and landing better shots in round four and five. I will pick Murphy but don’t feel confident enough betting on him here. Emmett is dangerous with his hands and I am scared he could catch Murphy over the course of this fight. Lerone Murphy by Decision
- Nick: Lerone Murphy is a well-rounded fighter with impressive speed and an excellent gas tank. He comes into this fight with a 15-0-1 professional record, having won each of his last six fights under the UFC banner. Murphy is a gifted striker with enough grappling ability, both offensively and defensively, to hang with the majority of the division. He has developed a reputation as a slow starter and his volume seems low at times, but he’s shown to have a fairly high fight IQ as his fights wear on and he can be very dangerous once he starts building momentum. Josh Emmett is mostly known for his tremendous KO power on the feet, but he’s also a decent grappler with a powerful wrestling base and technically sound takedown entries. He likes to switch stances when he’s striking. He can be fairly plodding and he telegraphs many of his shots, but he has true one-shot power in both of his hands. He has been out of action since December of 2023, where he secured a brutal highlight reel KO win over Bryce Mitchell at UFC 296. Emmett is dangerous against anyone, but he’s going to have trouble closing the distance and matching the speed of Murphy here. While he’s certainly live for the KO, it seems more likely this fight goes the distance. Murphy should be able to stay safe enough to secure a win on the scorecards here. Simply, these are two fighters whose respective careers are headed in opposite directions. Lerone Murphy by Decision
-Nick Marro
Twitter: @NickMarroDFS
-Anthony Marro
Twitter: @AnthonyMarro_
Photo: UFC.com