UFC Vegas 73

UFC Vegas 73 Predictions & Analysis

UFC Vegas 73: Dern vs Hill – 5.20.2023 – Fight Predictions and Analysis

   Welcome to our collaborative coverage of UFC Vegas 73: Dern vs Hill. We return to the UFC Apex in Las Vegas for another slate of fights this fine Saturday. Our analysis includes a pick for every bout from Dynes Sports contributors Anthony Marro and Nicholas Marro.

   As coverage continues, we will keep our records up to date below. Be sure to check out our full reasoning for every pick though as records will not reflect confidence. We will be picking every fight, but likely only recommend betting on a select few.

Current Record

  • Anthony: 106-84-3 (Last Year 320-187-3, 63%)
  • Nick: 121-69-3 (Last Year 324-183-3, 64%)

*Fight odds were last updated from Bet99 on 5-19-2023 at 11pm EST

Preliminary Card- Starts 4:00pm EST

Themba Gorimbo -120 vs Takashi Sato +100

  • Anthony: The card today opens with a welterweight bout between Takashi Sato and Themba Gorimbo. This is a very tough matchup to call as both men will likely be fighting for their position on the UFC roster. Sato has lost three fights in a row, most recently being finished by Bryan Battle in the first minute of their contest last August. He is a well-rounded athlete with decent boxing and a good base in judo, simply lacking the top-level skills we expect to see on this stage. The UFC wins for Sato have come over lackluster competition in Ben Saunders and Jason Witt. I view Gorimbo the more enticing prospect, offering the more diverse skill set given his length and grappling prowess. While Sato has a slight edge on the feet, I see Gorimbo eventually securing a takedown here today. Sato defends just 60 percent of opponent takedowns and we have seen him submitted numerous times before. I think Gorimbo secures a choke here with his long limbs. Themba Gorimbo by Round Two Submission 
  • Nick: Sato is a Judo Black Belt, but most of his success has come on the feet. He has sneaky power in his strikes, but he often telegraphs his shots and his overall takedown defense is mediocre at best. He’s coming off three straight losses for the first time in his career and there’s a very good chance he’ll be cut from the roster if he can’t secure a win in this spot. Gorimbo is a powerful striker on the feet capable of throwing a wide range of creative attacks, but his defense and durability have shown to be weaknesses rather than strengths. He likes to wrestle, but his takedown entries are not technically sound which makes it easy for most of his opponents to stay standing. Gorimbo will have a reach advantage here, but he doesn’t use it very well. Gorimbo is coming off a loss in his UFC debut, which came via submission to AJ Fletcher. He looked decent early in that fight, but he made a lot of mistakes both on the ground and on the feet so it wasn’t too surprising to see him giving up an early lead. This is a close match-up and a lower-level one as well so I don’t want to be overinvested here. I’ll reluctantly back Gorimbo as he’s expected to have a considerable grappling advantage. Themba Gorimbo by Decision 

Natalia Silva -1000 vs Victoria Leonardo +600

  • Anthony: Next is a flyweight matchup between Victoria Leonardo and Natlia Silva. As evidenced by a -1000 price tag, there is a lot of hype surrounding the young Brazilian Silva. In two UFC appearances thus far, Silva has impressed by beating Jasmine Jasudavicius and finishing Tereza Bleda. She trains with Paulo Costa and an excellent group at Team Borracha. I really like the striking offense displayed by Silva, showing intelligence in her shot selection and very good defense for a 26 year old. As she faces a brawler today in Leonardo, one would imagine she capitalizes once again with a stellar performance. Leonardo is known for walking forward on opponents and throwing reckless hooks and overhands. A sniper like Silva should be able to land the cleaner and more precise shots, battering Leonardo and nullifying that forward pressure. I am expecting one way traffic here with Silva’s counters and crisp kicks causing Leonardo to fall inside of the first two rounds. I’m not convinced Silva deserves all the hype surrounding her but this is the perfect matchup to showcase her skills. Natalia Silva by Round Two KO
  • Nick: Silva is primarily a grappler, with seven of her fourteen professional wins coming via submission. She is coming off back-to-back wins under the UFC banner and eight consecutive wins overall. Silva has shown a high-level of skill everywhere. Her striking has dramatically improved, her grappling is as sharp as ever and this match-up with Leonardo feels like a bit of a gift given the momentum she brings into this fight. Leonardo pulled off an impressive upset against Chelsea Hackett on Dana White’s Contender Series as a +220 Underdog. Since then she has gone 1-2 under the UFC banner, most recently securing a win over Mandy Bohm via decision. She’s a decent grappler with solid ground and pound, but her striking still appears to be underdeveloped. The line has gotten a bit out of hand here, but Silva should be considerably better than Leonardo no matter where this fight goes. This feels like lop-sided matchmaking by the UFC, I fully expect Silva to roll here. Natalia Silva by Round Two Submission 

Nick Fiore -135 vs Chase Hooper +110

  • Anthony: This is a matchup at lightweight between grapplers Chase Hooper and Nick Fiore. I am very interested to see how this fight unfolds with Hooper moving up to 155 pounds. His last appearance saw him brutally finished by Steve Garcia, having no answer to the striking offense he was faced with. Hooper was knocked down three times in that bout and it is evident he has made no improvements to his own stand up. Thankfully he faces an opponent today that likely is content to engage with him on the mat. Fiore is a BJJ black belt training out of Renzo Gracie New Hampshire. He looked solid in a short notice fight against Mateusz Rebecki this winter but I am not certain he is a UFC caliber fighter. There are some glaring holes in the game of Fiore just like Hooper. This fight will be won by the man with more prolonged top control and the better offensive jiu jitsu. I believe that to be Hooper, but I am not at all confident betting him after his recent showings. Anyone with half decent striking can find his chin and put him away. Chase Hooper by Round Two Submission
  • Nick: Nick Fiore is 6-1 professionally, but he only has two wins against opponents with winning records. He’s coming off an ugly decision loss in his UFC debut, a fight in which he was dominated but also showed solid durability and cardio. Hooper has extremely advanced grappling ability for a 23-year old. If he can take this fight to the mat, he’s most likely going to look for Garcia’s back to score a submission. Five of Hooper’s eleven professional wins have come via submission. In many of Hooper’s past fights he was dramatically outclassed on the feet. It’s going to be a key for him here to hang in striking exchanges if he’ll have any hope of taking this fight to the mat where he’s most comfortable. He’ll be moving up to light weight here for the first time in his career. This should help his durability, but he’s likely going to be outsized by many of his future opponents. He’s fortunate that Fiore is also somewhat small for the weight class. He should also benefit from the fact that Fiore mostly prefers to grapple. This is a low confidence play, but it feels like the UFC is trying to get Hooper a win here. This is by no means a confident pick, but I’ll side with the underdog. Chase Hooper by Round Three Submission 

Rodrigo Nascimento -190 vs Ilir Latifi +155

  • Anthony: Next up is a fight between heavyweights Ilir Latifi and Rodrigo Nascimento. Neither man is a true top fifteen contender in this division, but both are entering today’s bout looking to extend their winning streaks to three. Nascimento is by far the more exciting fighter, pairing excellent jiu jitsu with some reckless and high volume striking. He holds the advantage grappling over just about every heavyweight he will face, though Latifi has never once been submitted. Latifi has defended every opponent takedown in the UFC and his stout frame does not leave much exposed in terms of neck and arm attacks. Both men are incredibly durable and one would think this likely devolves into a bit of a slugfest today. Nascimento may try to take down Latifi but I see him abandoning that gameplan early to instead outwork an older and much slower foe. Nascimento is entering this fight in rather solid shape and I see his size and length being the deciding factor in this one. It is an extremely volatile matchup but it appears Nascimento has the better chance of securing a victory. Rodrigo Nascimento by Decision
  • Nick: Latifi is a former light heavyweight, so he’s going to be considerably outsized here against a massive opponent in Nascimento. Nascimento enters this match-up with 6 of his 9 wins coming via Submission. He’s a decorated BJJ Black Belt, who in almost all of his fights tries to drag things to the mat as early as possible. He’s most recently coming off a convincing decision win over Tanner Boser, but he has been out of action since September of 2022. Latifi has never been submitted before, which should be a key for him here. Additionally, he has a 100% takedown defense in the UFC. He should have a cardio advantage over Nascimento and while I wouldn’t be surprised if Nascimento caught him with something early, it seems more likely that he’s able to keep this fight standing for the better part of three rounds. That being said, Nascimento is going to be the fighter throwing more volume in this match-up. He averages more than four significant strikes landed per minute and Latifi lands less than two. This is another low confidence play, but Nascimento is the pick. Rodrigo Nascimento by Decision

Orion Cosce -120 vs Gilbert Urbina +100

  • Anthony: Next is a matchup at welterweight between Orion Cosce and Gilbert Urbina. Cosce was heavy on the scales this Friday for what was the second consecutive time. He was an identical 172.5 pounds last July when fighting Blood Diamond, a rather lackluster performance that saw Cosce convincingly outworked in one round of the three. He is a typical wrestler looking to score takedowns via the single and double leg. Cosce’s striking is largely predicated on overhand attacks from both stances with his best work done from southpaw. I do not imagine he realizes prolonged success here in one of the promotion’s toughest divisions. Urbina is a higher volume striker who flows much more effortlessly on the feet. It has been a long time since Urbina’s last appearance but normally he can be relied upon to fight behind a steady jab. I see him landing the cleaner shots here against Cosce and dictating this fight with his hands. Certainly I worry about Cosce burning the clock here on top of Urbina, but with another tough weight cut I imagine that wrestling will not be sustainable for a full fifteen minute affair. I could also see Urbina finding himself a finish depending on how reckless Cosce fights early on. Gilbert Urbina by Decision
  • Nick: This is a low level match-up between two welterweights that are mostly unproven in the division. Cosce has a very low center of gravity and explosive hips. He does a good job mixing his striking and his grappling, and while he may have trouble on the feet here against a long opponent in Urbina, he should be able to use his frame to stay low and score takedowns. Cosce was a state champion high school wrestler. His cardio has been his most glaring weakness against top level competition, but it did hold up his last time out in a decision win over Blood Diamond. Urbina is a decent striker who works well behind his jab. He’s capable of changing stances and while it doesn’t seem to be a strength, he’s certainly more than competent on the mat as well. This is a very low level match-up, but I’ll side with the value of the underdog. I expect moving down a weight class here should help him keep this fight standing where he should stay a step ahead. Gilbert Urbina by Decision 

Karolina Kowalkiewicz -135 vs Vanessa Demopoulos +110

  • Anthony: This bout is a matchup at strawweight between Karolina Kowalkiewicz and Vanessa Demopoulos. Unfortunately Demopoulos missed weight on Friday after what appeared to be a tough cut. I was excited to see her clash with an opponent in Kowalkiewicz that will be looking to stand and strike, but now I likely won’t be betting on this fight given the weight miss. Demopoulos is a jiu jitsu practitioner with a clear edge grappling over Kowalkiewicz. I imagine the speed and volume of Kowalkiewicz gets the better of most exchanges here on the feet today, but Demopoulos would be able to crash distance and get to positions where she can work her offensive grappling. I just feel less enthused about that game plan now knowing how sucked out Demopoulos looked on the scales. I still do not believe Kowalkiewicz warrants this price tag at 37 years of age. Perhaps a price of +130 would entice me to bet on Demopoulos but I do not anticipate that much steam here a few hours from the fight going off. This is a pass for me. Vanessa Demopoulos by Decision 
  • Nick: Kowalkiewicz is sharp on his feet. She pushes a serious pace and does a good job stringing together effective combinations. She showed improvements in her grappling abilities in each of her most recent wins, a decision over Silvana Gómez Juárez and a submission of Felice Herrig. Kowalkiewicz lands more than five significant strikes per minute, but she also absorbs just as many. She’s going to need to be careful here not to overextend against a dangerous grappler in Demopoulos. Demopoulos was recently awarded her BJJ black belt. She has a powerful wrestling base, showing enough ability to score takedowns against lower level opponents. She can be an effective striker, but her defense is questionable at best. She eats a lot of shots against higher-volume strikers, and offensively she often leaves herself open to counter shots. This one could certainly go either way, but I’ll back the experience of Kowalkiewicz. Demopoulous will be dangerous here but she’s been prone to making mistakes. I think her style finally costs her this time around. Karolina Kowalkiewicz by Decision 

Viacheslav Borschev -165 vs Maheshate +135

  • Anthony: The featured prelim is a lightweight contest between Maheshate and Viacheslav Borschev. While I had high hopes for Borschev entering the UFC, his last two appearances have yielded disappointing results. In two bouts against Mike Davis and Marc Diakiese, Borschev was taken down a total of 20 times. He is an elite kickboxer with devastating power on the feet, but clearly Borschev has a massive hole in his skill set when it comes to grappling and wrestling defense. Borschev is extremely comfortable fighting inside of the pocket, oftentimes standing too close to opponents and getting dragged onto the mat as a result. Thankfully today he faces a fellow striker in the young Maheshate. We have seen Maheshate display very good boxing and a fan friendly style of his own, likely making for a good brawl here today. However, I fear Borschev can get taken down and held down by just about anyone, especially someone like Maheshate with such strong upper body strength. I absolutely favor Borschev in a striking heavy affair but I’m not sure if I can get to the window and bet him today. He, like Maheshate, also has some glaring holes in terms of striking defense. Viacheslav Borschev by Round Three KO
  • Nick: Borschev is primarily a kickboxer. He throws extremely powerful shots with all of his limbs and he seems to have excellent head movement and footwork. As talented as he is on the feet, his grappling leaves a lot to be desired. He recently shifted camps to Team Alpha Male to focus on his wrestling, but he’s going to have trouble against the stronger wrestlers in this division. He’s coming off back-to-back losses to Mark Davis and Marc Diakiese, two fights in which he was significantly outgrappled. This time around he’ll be getting a more favorable match-up against another primary striker in Maheshate. Maheshate is only 23-years old, but he already seems to be further along in his development than most of the prospects we see coming out of China. He throws powerful strikes and seems to be a competent grappler, but he really hasn’t been tested against a high level of competition. He’s coming off a tough decision loss to a dangerous opponent in Rafa Garcia. In spite of the fact he fell in that spot, it was reassuring to see him reach the scorecards against more technically advanced competition. In a fight I expect to mostly take place at striking range, I see Borschev as the rightful favorite. He’s the more cerebral striker and I expect Maheshate’s aggressiveness could cost him here. Viacheslav Borschev by Round Two KO 

Main Card- Starts 7:00pm EST

Diego Ferreira -160 vs Michael Johnson +130

  • Anthony: The main card opens with lightweights Carlos Diego Ferreira and Michael Johnson. It has been a while since Diego Ferreira last fought, losing three consecutive bouts to superior grapplers. Usually it is Ferreira and his jiu jitsu getting the better of opponents, but evidently his skills are beginning to decline. He is an athlete with solid boxing and a well rounded skill set, but clearly the game plan today is to win by utilizing his black belt in BJJ. Johnson has done well defending takedowns in his UFC tenure despite losing via submission numerous times. He is a tough fighter to trust when it comes to decision making on the mat and not rushing to escape positions while leaving his long limbs exposed. Still, the recent showings from Johnson prove he has still got it and there may be more wins ahead of him. I like his activity compared to that of Ferreira and did pick him to pull off the upset in his last time out. His volume does not tend to wane as the fight goes on as is the case with his opponent. Johnson has also now gone three straight bouts without getting taken down. I worry about him getting caught by submission here today but any other outcome likely means MJ earns himself a victory. I think he can string Ferreira out for fifteen minutes and use his length to put on the better striking display. Michael Johnson by Decision 
  • Nick: Diego Ferreira is one of the more decorated BJJ black belts in the UFC. He’s more than competent on the feet, but his offensive grappling ability is definitely his greatest strength. Seven of his seventeen professional victories have come by way of submission. He’s coming off three straight losses for the first time in his career, but each came against elite opponents. He most recently fell via KO to Mateusz Gamrot, but he’s been out of action since that fight back in December of 2021. Michael Johnson was once considered a future title contender at 155. He has notable wins over Tony Ferguson, Dustin Poirier, and Edson Barboza. That being said, there’s really no denying he’s a shell of the fighter he was in his prime. Johnson is a highly technical southpaw striker but his fight IQ and durability have deteriorated over the years. That being said, he does still occasionally show flashes of brilliance on the feet. He’s coming off an impressive win over Marc Diakiese, and he’ll be looking to build on that momentum against a tough opponent here in Ferreira. Since Ferreira has been out so long this is a tough one to call, but I expect he can get it done. If this fight hits the mat, Johnson will be in serious trouble. Diego Ferreira by Round Two Submission 

Joaquin Buckley -225 vs Andre Fialho +180

  • Anthony: Next is a welterweight contest between Joaquin Buckley and Andre Fialho. This is a very volatile matchup between men each with four knockout losses on their ledger. Buckley makes the cut down to 170 today for the first time since competing in Bellator. He appears stronger and more stout than Fialho, but I do worry about his chin now cutting fifteen pounds more than he has been accustomed to. It is very likely going to be a fight decided in the first ten minutes with one of these two getting laid out. Fialho lands with a higher rate of accuracy than Buckley, while also eating a lot more shots. I expect high action right away with Buckley fighting out of the southpaw stance, opposite the orthodox Fialho. The under feels like a very safe bet but I also do believe there is value on the underdog. Buckley has proven difficult to trust as a sizeable favorite and while I am expecting a slugfest here, both men have a great chance of landing the first knockdown. Buckley is certainly the more skilled and fundamentally sound but nonetheless I side with Fialho. These odds do not make sense to me given the recent performances from both. Andre Fialho by Round Two KO
  • Nick: In spite of his recent inconsistencies, it seems the UFC is still behind the marketing and promotion of Joaquin Buckley. He’s far from a developed talent, but his knockout ability makes him an easy sell. His spinning wheel-kick KO of Impa Kasanganay was the knockout of the year in 2020. He’s still developing the majority of his skills, but at just 28-years old he should continue to improve. Buckley has tremendous power and he can truly end a fight in any moment. That being said, he seems overly hesitant at times, he is fairly predictable as a striker as he telegraphs most of his shots. Coming off a KO loss to Chris Curtis, Buckley will be moving down a weight class here to fight at welterweight. He’ll no longer be undersized in the majority of his match-ups, but the more difficult weight cut could compromise his cardio and/or durability. Fialho is likely to be the aggressor early here, but he’ll need to be careful in managing his gas tank. We’ve seen Fialho fade late in fights on more than one occasion. Fialho is coming off back-to-back losses for the first time in his career. Fialho is fairly well-rounded, but he’s most content to stand and trade as he has true one shot KO power. Fialho is live for an early KO, but I see that as his only real path to victory. I’ll back Buckley here in his new weight class as the more well-rounded of the two. Joaquin Buckley by Round Three KO 

Lupita Godinez -160 vs Emily Ducote +130

  • Anthony: The featured bout is a short notice matchup between Lupita Godinez and Emily Ducote. Originally Ducote had been slated to fight Polyana Viana before that matchup fell apart. Now Godinez is once again stepping in to save the fight and earn another paycheck. I am a fan of Godinez given her willingness to constantly compete and fight hard. She has had some trouble against longer, more talented strikers but I view this a very competitive clash here as she draws into a boxer like Ducote. It is a matchup contested at a catchweight of 120 pounds. Ducote should be able to keep this fight standing where she likely holds the technical edge over Godinez. She tends to eat a lot of her opponent’s shots though and a high octane fighter like Godinez may take advantage. Godinez is also a talented wrestler that could shoot for takedowns here although I imagine that not part of her gameplan stepping in with such abbreviated notice. It will likely be a back and forth fifteen minutes with Godinez spending more time on the front foot and hopefully landing the more meaningful shots. I am not picking this one with confidence but it is going to be Godinez for me. Lupita Godinez by Decision
  • Nick: Lupita Godinez is a well-rounded fighter, but most of her recent success has certainly come via her grappling. Since entering the UFC, Godinez has averaged more than 3.8 takedowns per fifteen minutes. Her striking continues to improve, but against Ducote she’d be wise to continue to wrestle aggressively. Ducote is an effective striker with surprising power for her frame. She was most recently dominated via decision by card-headliner Angela Hill. She lands more than six significant strikes per minute, and it’s expected she’s going to continue to show improvement as she’s still only 29-years old. In many ways, this is a classic striker vs. grappler match-up. If this fight takes place on the feet, Ducote will look like a considerable favorite. On the contrary, if Godinez can secure the takedowns she needs she should win consistent minutes. Given Godinez is taking this fight on short notice, I’ll side with the value of the underdog. I expect she can stay standing long enough to pull away on the scorecards. Emily Ducote by Decision

Anthony Hernandez -215 vs Edmen Shahbazyan +175

  • Anthony: The co-main event comes at middleweight between Anthony Hernandez and Edmen Shahbazyan. Finally Shahbazyan got back on the winning track his last time out, stopping Dalcha Lungiambula with punches. A prolonged losing streak for The Golden Boy saw him largely grounded and controlled by superior grapplers, but that was not the case against a striker in Lungiambula who has now lost four fights in a row. I am expecting a different outcome here for Shahbazyan in what is really a nightmare matchup. Hernandez averages more than two takedowns landed per round in the UFC. He is a relentless grappler who does well grounding opponents, controlling them, and working to improve position quickly. From the jump here I expect Fluffy to be on the legs of Shahbazyan and working to bring him down to the mat. Not only is grappling a major deficiency for Shahbazyan but cardio is not a great attribute of his either. Often we see Shahbazyan realize a lot of success early only to fade quickly as the fight enters rounds two and three. A cardio machine like Hernandez should weather the early storm here and grind Shahbazyan to a pulp as this fight goes late. He is one of my most confident picks on this evening’s fight card. Anthony Hernandez by Round Three Submission 
  • Nick: Hernandez’s submission ability is certainly his greatest strength, but he’s also competent on the feet with two professional wins via KO. Hernandez should be able to hang on the feet here, but his clearest path to victory will be to take this fight to the mat as seven of his ten professional wins have come via submission. He is coming off three consecutive wins under the UFC banner, and he’s on the verge of breaking into the rankings at middleweight if he can secure another in this match-up. Shahbazyan is one of the more intriguing up-and-comers at middleweight. He’s only 25, but he’s already shown flashes of elite level striking and a serious ability to finish fights early. While his striking seems to be his greatest strength, Shabazyan also has a Brown Belt in BJJ under Renzo Gracie. He was once considered a future top contender at 185, but he has only had one of his last four fights. That win came his last time out vis KO over Dalcha Lungiambula. He always seems to look good early in his fights, but his gas tank seems shallow at best. Even if Hernandez can’t find a finish, I do expect he’ll have a considerable enough wrestling advantage here to control position for the better part of three rounds. The line does feel wide here as Shabazyan is going to be dangerous on the feet early, but I do see Hernandez as the rightful favorite. Anthony Hernandez by Decision 

Mackenzie Dern -185 vs Angela Hill +150

  • Anthony: The main event is a strawweight contest between Mackenzie Dern and Angela Hill. There is an interesting dynamic surrounding this bout as the two had originally been scheduled to fight three rounds last weekend. Now they are instead going a full five rounds under the spotlight of this card’s main event. It is a classic matchup of grappler versus striker with Dern looking to utilize her phenomenal jiu jitsu to earn a victory here today. She is a very talented BJJ practitioner with seven professional wins coming by way of submission. Dern has been improving a bit with her hands but the striking is rather one dimensional and still quite clearly a few steps behind that of Angela Hill. We will need to see Hill defend takedowns and win rounds convincingly by keeping this fight upright. I could see her finding success in the atmosphere of a three round bout but now going five, I assume Dern does get this bout to the mat at some point. Her grappling is much more advanced than that of Hill and if these two do get rolling on the ground I like her chances of locking up a submission. I do think Hill has the edge if the judge’s scorecards are needed today but my official pick is Mackenzie Dern. I see her landing two or three takedowns before finally setting up the submission attempt she needs. Mackenzie Dern by Round Four Submission 
  • Nick: This fight will mark Angela Hill’s 23rd with the UFC. Hill is well-rounded, with a powerful muay thai striking base. She is a competent grappler with decent BJJ, but most of her success has come striking both in the clinch as well as in open space. Hill will have a massive technical advantage when this fight is standing. However, she’ll also need to be careful not to overextend as she could be in big trouble if she’s taken down. Dern is one of the more decorated BJJ black belts in all of MMA. She has a nearly flawless ground game as a former world No. 1 ranked IBJJF competitor. She is an ADCC and no-gi BJJ World Champion, and a brutal match-up for any opponent when her fights hit the mat. In many ways, this is a classic striker vs. grappler match-up. Dern has shown dramatic improvements in her striking over her last few fights. She’s no longer the one-dimensional fighter she was when entering the UFC. Still, she’s definitely going to try to take this fight to the mat. As good as her BJJ is, her wrestling and overall ability to score takedowns is still mediocre at best. HIll has a solid 77% takedown defense in the UFC, and she hasn’t been submitted since 2019. I expect Hill to keep this fight standing for the majority of all five rounds. She’s the much better striker in this match-up. Angela Hill by Decision

-Nick Marro

Twitter: @NickMarroDFS

-Anthony Marro

Twitter: @AnthonyMarro_

Photo: UFC.com