If you’ve been playing fantasy football for a while, you’ve probably noticed a massive shift in how we approach the wide receiver position. Not that long ago, a rookie wideout was a luxury pick—a long-term project you stashed on your bench hoping for a breakout a year or two down the line. That mindset is now completely outdated.
The NFL has become a full-on passing league, and with that evolution comes an endless supply of dynamic young talent entering the draft. The 2024 draft class was the ultimate proof, a historic group that shattered all our expectations. A record-tying seven receivers went in the first round, and the hype was real. Three of them—a new league record—topped 1,000 yards in their first year.
Malik Nabers was a target monster for the Giants, proving a great receiver can produce even in a lacklustre offence. Brian Thomas Jr. was a touchdown machine for the Jaguars, while Ladd McConkey was a super reliable, chain-moving weapon for the Chargers. Even Marvin Harrison Jr., who had a more inconsistent start, flashed the elite talent that made him a top-five pick. This new reality has changed the game for all of us.
No longer is it a simple choice between a veteran and a long shot. Now, you’re drafting with the knowledge that a rookie could easily become a weekly starter and a league-winner right out of the gate. The depth at wide receiver has never been better, and it’s a testament to the incredible talent pouring into the league. As we head into this season, the 2024 class is no longer a group of prospects, but proven commodities ready to dominate.
Tier 1: The Elite Tier
These are the cornerstones of a championship fantasy team—the players with a rock-solid floor and league-winning upside. You draft them early and count on them every single week.
- Ja’Marr Chase (CIN)
Ja’Marr Chase is the reigning No. 1 fantasy wide receiver, and his 2024 season was one for the record books. He outscored second-place Justin Jefferson by a massive 85.5 points and scored the second-most fantasy points of any player, regardless of position, since Cooper Kupp’s historic 2021 season. Chase’s incredible year included the most routes, targets, receptions, yards, touchdowns, and end zone targets (17) in the league, cementing his place as an elite playmaker who can turn any catch into a touchdown. Chase has been a model of consistency, finishing in the top 12 in fantasy points per game in all four of his NFL seasons, and in the top 5 for three of them. Now the league’s highest-paid non-quarterback at 25 years old, his situation is arguably the best in all of fantasy football. He’s a heavily targeted superstar on the league’s most pass-heavy offence, with an elite quarterback in Joe Burrow throwing him the ball. It’s hard to find a better fantasy situation than Chase’s. He’s squarely in his prime, in a pass-first offence with a poor defence, and has one of the best pure passers in the game. He should be the first wide receiver off the board and is a strong option with the No. 1 overall pick in any fantasy format. - Justin Jefferson (MIN)
Jefferson comes with slightly more risk than in past years, but he’s a big-time playmaker who has done nothing but produce elite numbers. Since he entered the league in 2020, only two receivers—Davante Adams and Ja’Marr Chase—have averaged more fantasy points per game (16.2 in half-PPR) than the Vikings’ star. He enters his sixth NFL season as one of the best in the league at his position, having produced a league-high 7,432 receiving yards since his arrival, including at least 100 catches, 1,500 yards, and eight TDs in his last three full seasons. Jefferson has finished four straight seasons as a top-5 fantasy receiver on a per-game basis and showed he was QB-proof in 2024, finishing top 5 in catches, yards, and TDs with Sam Darnold under centre. The only thing keeping him from being the consensus first overall pick is the uncertainty surrounding new, unproven quarterback J.J. McCarthy. However, many analysts believe this an opportunity to buy him at a slight discount, as his talent and the Vikings’ pass-first scheme under coach Kevin O’Connell make him a very safe WR1 value. He’s a high-end WR1 again in 2025 and should be one of the first players off the board. - CeeDee Lamb (DAL)
Lamb is entering his sixth NFL season eyeing a bounce-back after a disappointing 2024 campaign where he missed two games and found the end zone only six times. For many receivers, 101 catches and an eighth-place finish in fantasy points would be a career year, but it was a step back for Lamb after he led all receivers in yards, touchdowns, and fantasy points in 2023. However, despite Dak Prescott missing more than half the season, Lamb still managed his third straight top-8 fantasy campaign, and only two receivers accrued more touches. At 26 years old and in his prime, Lamb remains one of the league’s best receivers. He will get Prescott back this season, and the addition of George Pickens gives Lamb someone else on the offence that defences have to focus on. This new offensive balance means that Lamb will finally be able to face more one-on-one coverage, which is a terrifying prospect for any defensive coordinator. The combination of a healthy Dak and a new weapon to take the pressure off makes Lamb a solid WR1 option with elite upside who may come at a slight discount on draft day. - Nico Collins (HOU)
Collins is entering his fifth NFL season, having established himself as one of the league’s top receivers over the last two years. He’s developed a mind-meld connection with quarterback C.J. Stroud and has been a top-10 fantasy WR on a per-game basis in back-to-back seasons, highlighted by his 80-1,297-8 line in 15 games in 2023 and a 68-1,006-7 line in 12 games last season. He did all of this in a fairly dysfunctional passing offence, which struggled to find ways to protect Stroud. If new offensive coordinator Nick Caley can provide better solutions, which I think he will, the Texans could make a big jump in 2025, and Collins’s ceiling would be nonexistent. The missed games are a concern, as he’s missed at least two games in all four of his seasons, but he offsets that with elite play, finishing in the top 3 in yards per route run two years in a row. With Stefon Diggs gone and Tank Dell’s playing status uncertain for 2025, Collins is ticketed for massive usage as Stroud’s clear No. 1 target. He is a solid WR1 option with elite upside in fantasy football.
Tier 2: High-End WRs with Elite Potential
This tier is made up of players with proven talent who still possess elite upside. While they may have a slightly lower floor than the players in Tier 1, due to competition or a less established quarterback, they are excellent second-round targets who can win you weeks.
- A.J. Brown (PHI)
A.J. Brown is arguably one of the top three receivers in the NFL and has been an elite fantasy asset since joining the Eagles, finishing no lower than 13th in fantasy points per game in his first three seasons. Last season, however, his raw counting stats were suppressed by the nature of the Philadelphia offence. In 2024 while missing four games, he recorded his fewest receptions (67) and targets (97) since his rookie year, yet still managed to finish with 1,079 and 7 touchdowns. This reduced volume was a direct result of the Eagles’ run dominant game scripts, as they took their foot off the gas in the second half. The team trailed for a league-low 134 snaps after halftime, causing Jalen Hurts’ average dropbacks to fall from 17.8 in the first half to just 11.3 in the second. This obviously significantly impacted Brown, who saw his average targets drop from 5.0 to 2.5 after halftime. Despite the limited opportunities, Brown was as effective as ever. His 3.04 yards per route run ranked second in the NFL behind only Puka Nacua, and he commanded a stellar 35.9% of the team’s targets when on the field. He was particularly dominant against man coverage, leading the league with a 38.7% per-route rate and a silly 4.31 yards per route run. Looking ahead to the 2025 season, the Eagles’ schedule is flipping from the fourth-easiest to the fourth-hardest, a major swing that is expected to force a more pass-heavy approach. While the offence will still lean on its run game, the likely increase in passing volume positions Brown as a surefire WR1 with genuine league-winning upside, a player whose immense talent and hyper-efficiency overcome the inherent boom-or-bust nature of the offence. - Puka Nacua (LAR)
When Nacua is on the field, he’s an elite fantasy playmaker. After exploding for 1,486 yards on 105 catches as a fifth-round rookie in 2023, he produced 990 yards on 79 catches last season despite missing six games and a substantial chunk of two others due to a knee sprain. Once he was full-go in Week 10, Nacua went on to handle a massive 37% target share (11.3 per game) and his average of 22.3 fantasy points during that span would have ranked second over the full season. He quickly established himself as Matthew Stafford’s most trusted receiver, averaging 9.5 targets per game over his first two seasons, which is sixth most among all receivers. The 6-foot-2, 212-pound pass catcher is a menace over the middle of the field and consistently churns out yards after the catch. He also led all receivers in yards per route run (3.7) in 2024, a testament to his elite on-field performance. The concerns with Nacua are twofold: his injury history (he’s consistently beat up and has yet to play a full season) and his relatively low touchdown total (10 touchdowns in 28 career games, with only six end zone targets in 2024). However, the Rams offence has led the NFL in WR targets for the last two seasons, and with his chemistry with Stafford only getting stronger, Nacua remains well positioned for a massive target share. He finished sixth in fantasy PPG as a rookie and third in 2024 and should be off the board in the first round. The one major risk is that his QB, Matthew Stafford, is already dealing with back soreness in training camp and the addition of Davante Adams likely means that Nacua will not be seeing an increase in red zone targets. - Malik Nabers (NYG)
Malik Nabers is coming off one of the best seasons by a rookie receiver in some time, leading the NFL with a 35% target share despite New York’s offensive struggles. The 2024 No. 6 overall pick had the most targets of any rookie wide receiver in NFL history last season (in just 15 games) and finished seventh or better among receivers in targets, receptions, yards, and fantasy points. His massive target share provided him a high floor, as he was a top-30 fantasy scorer in 13 of 15 games. His outlook is even better in 2025 with Russell Wilson (and possibly rookie Jaxson Dart or, fantasy gods willing, Jameis Winston) under centre. While Nabers has arguably the most volatile quarterback situation of all the receivers in his draft range, his immense talent and undeniable role as the Giants’ top target put him on the short list of receivers who could lead the position in fantasy points. He is a rock-solid WR1 target with elite upside. - Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET)
Amon-Ra St. Brown enters his fifth NFL season as the only player in the league with 105 or more receptions each of the past three seasons. Despite a slight dip in targets, receptions, and yards in 2024, he offset that with a career-high 12 touchdowns and still finished as the No. 3 fantasy WR for the second year in a row. He remains an elite, short-range target, having paced qualified wide receivers in catch rate (81%) in 2024 and ranking in the top 5 in first downs per route run for three consecutive years. Since coming into the league, the Sun God ranks among the league’s elite in basically every important statistical category, including catches (430, tied for first), yards (4,851, seventh), and touchdowns (33, tied for fifth). He’s quarterback Jared Goff’s most trusted playmaker and a clear top-5 fantasy wide receiver. However, the Lions are talking up a bigger role for Jameson Williams this offseason, which could slightly impact St. Brown’s overall volume, though his elite talent and floor remain undeniable. He brings top-five potential again in 2025. - Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX)
Brian Thomas Jr. is one of the most talented and explosive young receivers in the game and is absolutely worth betting on. Just three receivers scored more total fantasy points than Thomas in 2024, and they were all powerhouse fantasy studs: Ja’Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Amon-Ra St. Brown. The LSU product finished in the top 5 among receivers in both yards and TDs despite ranking 29th in routes and 19th in targets. The big-play specialist has emerged quickly as Jacksonville’s go-to guy and should see a second-year jump in head coach and play caller Liam Coen’s new-look offence, which was extremely generous to his wide receivers in Tampa Bay. However, Thomas’ volume will need to increase in Year 2 to sustain WR1 fantasy production. While it’s reasonable to expect that boost, it’s worth noting he had six 10-plus target games with backup Mac Jones (22.9 fantasy PPG those six weeks) but zero with starter Trevor Lawrence (14.4). There is also the risk of greater target competition in 2025 in the form of rookie WR/CB Travis Hunter, who could be schemed up looks in the short and intermediate areas and in the red zone, which may lead to some regression from Thomas’s 10 touchdowns last year. Even with these risks, Thomas appears to be the real deal, and he is a good back-end WR1 target with elite upside. - Ladd McConkey (LAC)
Ladd McConkey enters his second season poised for a breakout after a stellar rookie campaign that saw him catch 82 of 112 targets for 1,149 yards and 7 touchdowns. He truly took off in the second half of the season, averaging 88.4 yards per game over his final 10 games, which ranked fifth in the league. This consistency was a hallmark of his performance, as he secured at least five receptions in 10 of his final 11 games and finished as the WR11 in fantasy during this stretch. McConkey’s rookie season was impressive not just on the stat sheet but also in advanced metrics. He demonstrated elite efficiency, ranking second in the league in yards from the slot (761) while also excelling on the outside, where his 2.79 yards per route ranked ninth. Per Reception Perception, his 98th percentile success rate against press coverage was second only to Odell Beckham Jr.’s rookie season in the past decade. While his 22.8% target share wasn’t elite, his immediate connection with Justin Herbert and the minimal competition for targets suggest a high-volume role is in his future. Despite the Chargers’ new run-heavy offence, McConkey’s versatility and strong rapport with his quarterback put a 100-plus catch season in play, solidifying him as a safe WR2 with significant upside. - Drake London (ATL)
London is entering his fourth NFL season, but probably has never been as intruiging as a fantasy prospect as he is this year. He’s commanded a massive 27% target share and 35% of the air yards during his career in Atlanta, yet his fantasy production has often been boom/bust due to the team’s run-heavy scheme and poor quarterback play. There’s a reason for optimism, though: London was the No. 1 fantasy wide receiver for the three weeks he played with Michael Penix Jr. last season. While a small sample, it’s a huge signal of his potential with a quarterback who isn’t a statue. At 6-foot-4, London is a big-bodied receiver who excels at in-breakers over the middle, making him a potential target hog. His ceiling and consistency are impacted by Atlanta’s run-heavy scheme, but his hefty share of the targets should be enough to allow borderline-WR1 numbers. The biggest risk is that his success hinges on Michael Penix Jr. succeeding and staying healthy.
Tier 3: High-Upside WRs with Question Marks
This is where you find players who can be inconsistent but have the talent and opportunity to win you a week.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA)
Smith-Njigba is entering his third NFL season following a breakout 2024 campaign in which he ranked top 10 among wide receivers in routes, receptions, yardage, and fantasy points (19th in PPG). He gets open and catches everything over the middle of the field. Even in a run-heavy offence, he was a go-to guy in the Seahawks offence, commanding a 24-percent target rate while racking up 100 catches for 1,130 yards. He dominated in the short and intermediate areas and proved to be a clutch chains-mover, tying for sixth in the NFL in receiving first downs (57). His tendency to operate primarily in a short-area role limited JSN to only six TDs and he ranked 16th in end zone targets with eleven. The 2023 first-round pick got more downfield opportunities in 2024 than he did as a rookie and perhaps will get even more in 2025 with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett off to other teams and high level slot talent in Cooper Kupp in as his running mate. Smith-Njigba will also have a new playcaller (Klint Kubiak) and quarterback (Sam Darnold), which adds some uncertainty, but the bottom line is he’s an emerging star and, at 23 years old, is younger than some incoming rookies so he is still developing. He could threaten high-end WR2 numbers in fantasy and could crack the top 10 with another leap forward. - Tee Higgins (CIN)
Tee Higgins returns to the Bengals after signing a new extension, solidifying his role as an elite WR2 alongside Ja’Marr Chase. While he isn’t the team’s primary receiver, he excels in the league’s most pass-heavy offence with an exceptional quarterback in Joe Burrow. Despite an ongoing struggle with injuries that have caused him to miss time in four consecutive seasons, Higgins has been incredibly impactful when healthy. His 2024 season was a prime example, as he posted career-highs in just 12 games with 10 touchdowns and 18.5 fantasy points per game, ranking in the top six at his position. Higgins’s success is amplified by the defensive attention that Chase commands. When they were on the field together last season, Higgins actually edged out Chase in targets (109 to 107) and claimed a team-high 37.4% of the air yards. He was remarkably efficient, catching 73 of 109 targets for 911 yards and those 10 touchdowns and his 2.06 yards per route run was his best rate since 2021. However, the one significant downside to his performance is his durability. Having missed four games last year, and multiple games in three of the past four seasons, his persistent injury concerns make him a high-risk, high-reward fantasy option. - Davante Adams (LV)
The fantasy dream of a Matthew Stafford-to-Davante Adams connection is finally a reality. While Adams is 32 years old, his style of play—relying on pristine route-running and football savvy—ages like a fine wine. Now in a new system with a new quarterback, his value is tied to Stafford’s tendency to lock onto his most trusted receiver. While the presence of an elite target hog like Puka Nacua is a clear ceiling-limiter, Adams’ talent and the Rams’ pass-heavy scheme offer plenty of opportunities. The team has led the NFL in wide receiver targets in each of the last two seasons, and Adams has a remarkable track record, finishing in the top 15 in fantasy points per game for the last 10 seasons. Despite his age, he showed no signs of slowing down last season, delivering five top-10 fantasy weeks. Adams may no longer be an elite option, but he is a high end WR2 with back-end WR1 upside. - Garrett Wilson (NYJ)
Wilson is a remarkably talented player who has produced consistently despite the Jets’ revolving door at quarterback. He’s entering his fourth season after logging at least 148 targets, 83 catches, and 1,042 yards in each of his first three campaigns. Now with Justin Fields under centre, Wilson’s fantasy outlook is equal parts intriguing and uncertain. Fields helped D.J. Moore to a career-best season in Chicago thanks to Fields’ inability to get to his second looks, but his dual-threat ability could also reduce Jet’s overall passing volume as they lean into a run-heavy offence. While Wilson has consistently ranked in the top six for targets across the NFL, his fantasy points per game have been held back by a low touchdown total (only 14 TDs in 51 games). With a weak receiving corps behind him, Wilson is a lock for a high target share, but his ability to reach WR1 territory depends on Fields’ development as a passer and the new offensive coordinator’s scheme. Given the volatility, he’s best viewed as a fringe top-15 receiver with high upside. - Terry McLaurin (WAS)
Caveat: This analysis is based on the likelihood that McLaurin signs an extension in Washington and has at least a couple of weeks of camp to get up to football speed, despite his current hold-in and trade request.
For years, fantasy managers wondered what Terry McLaurin could do with a real quarterback. Last season, with the arrival of Jayden Daniels, we got our answer: a franchise-record 13 receiving touchdowns and a career-best fantasy finish. While McLaurin’s raw talent is undeniable, there are significant concerns. His 13 touchdowns came on a relatively modest 82 catches, an unsustainable touchdown rate that is ripe for regression. The arrival of a target hog like Deebo Samuel further complicates his volume, as McLaurin has historically ranked around 19th in targets and has yet to finish higher than 15th in catches or ninth in yards. He’s a great player and the clear alpha in Washington, but to maintain WR1 numbers, his volume will have to increase to offset the likely touchdown regression. For now, McLaurin is best valued as a mid-to-back-end WR2.
Tier 4: Safe WR2s
This tier is a mix of proven veterans and high-upside players who should be mainstays in your starting lineup.
- Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI)
Marvin Harrison Jr. didn’t come close to living up to his lofty fantasy expectations in his rookie season, but his underlying usage was promising. He commanded 116 targets and a 22% target rate, both ranking inside the top 23 among all receivers. He also ranked third in the league in end zone targets (17) and ninth in air yards (1,518), showing the Cardinals were intent on giving him high-value opportunities. However, the lack of chemistry between Harrison and quarterback Kyler Murray was apparent in Year 1, leading to an ugly 54% catch rate and a 22% off-target rate. The Cardinals’ scheme didn’t do him any favours either, as they primarily ran him on vertical routes to the intermediate and deep parts of the field, with just 39% of his targets being short (60th among receivers). There’s obvious risk here, but Harrison was drafted with the expectation he’d be an elite player, and it’s logical that he’ll be treated that way in his second season. If the Cardinals can scheme up more easy-button targets and he and Murray can build chemistry, the sky is the limit. Harrison is a strong candidate for a Year 2 leap, and while there’s some projection involved, he should be valued as a fringe WR2 with massive upside. - Mike Evans (TB)
Mike Evans is a model of consistency, returning from a hamstring injury last season to average just under 100 yards a game and clinch his 11th straight 1,000-yard season, an incredible NFL record. The future Hall of Famer will be 32 before the start of the season, but he’s still a marvel who hasn’t shown signs of slowing down. In 2024, he missed three games but still scored double-digit touchdowns for the fourth time in five seasons, and he’s never finished a season worse than 23rd in fantasy points (26th in PPG). Despite his consistency, there are some concerns. Evans was very boom/bust last season, posting six top-10 fantasy outings while also falling short of 12 points in seven of his other eight games. He also benefited massively from Chris Godwin’s season-ending injury, averaging 13.6 fantasy PPG with him but 20.7 PPG without. The Buccaneers also added rookie Emeka Egbuka, which creates more target competition alongside Godwin (who’s timeline is murky as he works his way back from a major 2024 injury) and Jalen McMillan. However, Evans is still the clear alpha in Tampa Bay and has a good quarterback in Baker Mayfield, helping him remain a reliable fringe fantasy WR2 with the potential to flirt with WR1 numbers. - Rashee Rice (KC)
Rashee Rice is undoubtedly one of the biggest wild cards in fantasy football this season. On one hand, he was an absolute fantasy superstar since taking on a substantial role midway through his rookie season in 2023. Before tearing his ACL in Week 4 last year, he was the WR4 in fantasy and led the league in receptions, averaging eight per game. During a nine-game span in his rookie season, Rice averaged 19.5 fantasy PPG, and in three full games last season, he handled a massive 36% target share (10.7 per game) and averaged 21.6 PPG. The good news is that his knee is reportedly healing well, and is expected to be fully healthy before Week 1. On the other hand, Rice is facing a potential suspension for a speed-racing incident in 2024. This could cause him to miss the first month or more of the season, making him a high-risk pick. The Chiefs also did very little to add to their receiving room this offseason, which is a good sign for his future role, but he now has legitimate target competition via Xavier Worthy, a theoretically healthy Hollywood Brown, and a rejuvenated Travis Kelce. While the usual fantasy rule of thumb is to wait until 2 years after the injury, Rice’s upside is worth his falling draft cost, as I believe he will still be a featured target when he gets back on the field. He has WR1 upside, but won’t cost quite that much on draft day. If he comes back and plays at the rate we saw at the start of last season, he can be a late season league winner across fantasy football. - Tyreek Hill (MIA)
Tyreek Hill is eyeing a rebound campaign following what was undoubtedly the most disappointing season of his career. Despite an historic 2023 campaign where he posted 1,799 receiving yards, the seventh most ever, and was at one point on pace to become the first 2,000-yard receiver, his 2024 season was a mess. A torn wrist ligament and a run-in with police hours before a game began was foreshadowing how the season would go for Hill. He failed to reach 1,000 yards and, perhaps most concerningly, didn’t score a single touchdown in the six games Tua Tagovailoa missed. Even when Tua was on the field, Hill was not his usual elite self, averaging just 14.9 PPG. Overall, Hill finished a stunning 31st among WRs in fantasy PPG after ranking no lower than 11th the previous seven seasons. Hill’s success relies on maintaining his elite speed (which is the first thing to go as receivers age, and Hill will be 31 this season), and his production is overwhelmingly tied to Tua’s health and the team’s willingness to throw the deep ball. A potential rebound is possible given his track record as a top-two fantasy WR in three of the four seasons before 2024, but it’s not a guarantee. He’s safest as a low WR2 with upside. - DJ Moore (CHI)
Moore has been one of the strongest target-earners in the league over the past four seasons, averaging a 27.8-percent target rate, which is the third-best over that stretch. The problem with Moore, generally, is that he’s mostly played on bad teams with bad quarterbacks. If this is the year that changes, with Caleb Williams making a big leap under new head coach and play-caller Ben Johnson, then Moore may finally ascend to the top tier of fantasy receivers. There are a lot of mouths to feed in Chicago after the team drafted tight end Colston Loveland and receiver Luther Burden III in April, joining sophomore Rome Odunze and veteran tight end Cole Kmet as pass catchers in the Windy City. Moore, who showed some horrific body language on the field last year for the Bears, could see his role diminish and his target rate drop. Moore has established himself as one of the league’s most reliable players, having missed only two games in his seven-year career while finishing each of the past six seasons as a top-25 fantasy receiver. Working in a crowded Chicago WR room with a rookie QB last season, Moore did see a dip in fantasy output (from ninth in PPG in 2023 to 28th in 2024), but he was still very productive, finishing ninth among WRs in targets and receptions. Moore did improve dramatically in the second half of the season (11.1 fantasy PPG during Weeks 1-10, but 17.3 in eight games once OC Shane Waldron was fired), which is notable as Ben Johnson takes over the offence. Entering his age-28 season, Moore is a fine WR2 target and a career year is very possible if Caleb Williams makes a Year 2 leap. - Courtland Sutton (DEN)
Courtland Sutton is entering his eighth NFL season after a career year where he posted career-highs in catches (81) and first downs (57) in an uncharacteristic role as the possession receiver. He also finished 17th or better among WRs in snaps, routes, targets, catches, TDs, and fantasy points, something no one could have predicted with a first year quarterback running Sean Payton’s offence. While he’s yet to finish a season in the top 25 in fantasy PPG, he’s cemented himself as the clear top target in Denver with a 25% target share last season. Sutton is a constant red-zone threat, finishing in the top 10 in end zone targets three seasons in a row and sixth in 2024, giving him sneaky high touchdown potential. However, Sutton enters his age-30 season with new competition in the form of tight end Evan Engram and rookie wide receiver Pat Bryant, joining Devaughn Vele, Marvin Mims, and Troy Franklin. If he begins to slow down, any of these young pass catchers could steal targets. Despite these risks, the Broncos’ offence is expected to be much improved with Bo Nix under centre with another year to expand the offence. - DK Metcalf (PIT)
After six seasons in Seattle, Metcalf was traded to Pittsburgh, where he’ll join the Steelers as the undisputed WR1. Despite his durability – having missed only three games in his career – Metcalf hasn’t quite lived up to his lofty expectations. He’s led the NFL with 96 end-zone targets since entering the league, but his production has been consistently solid rather than elite, finishing as a top-25 fantasy receiver in four of the past five seasons. His vertical play style has often limited his catch totals, and his scoring has underwhelmed recently, averaging just 6.3 touchdowns per season since 2022. In Pittsburgh, Metcalf faces the least target competition of his career and will be catching passes from Aaron Rodgers who showed signs of being fully healthy from his torn Achilles at the end of the 2024 season. While this presents a huge opportunity for a big target share and a potential bounce-back season, there are significant questions. Rodgers is at the end of his career and not the elite talent he once was, and the Steelers’ offensive line is young and unproven. The new situation is a double-edged sword, but if Metcalf can build chemistry with Rodgers, he has the look of a fringe WR2 with potential for much more.
- Calvin Ridley (TEN)
Calvin Ridley is back with the Tennessee Titans for his second season, where he remains the team’s top receiver. Last year, he was a solid fantasy contributor despite a low catch rate and only four touchdowns, which can be directly attributed to the Titans’ poor quarterback play. While he led the NFL in air yards (1,849) and commanded a strong 23.7% target rate, his fantasy upside was capped. Heading into the new season, Ridley’s potential is a high-risk, high-reward proposition tied to rookie quarterback Cam Ward. If Ward can quickly develop chemistry with Ridley, the veteran’s role as the primary deep threat and clear No. 1 option could pay off in a big way. Given his talent and opportunity, Ridley is best viewed as a solid WR3 with a high ceiling if the rookie QB can live up to expectations. - DeVonta Smith (PHI)
DeVonta Smith is entering his fifth NFL season, having finished each of the past three campaigns in the top 20 among WRs in fantasy PPG. He’s one of the best No. 2 receivers in the league, almost on par with Tee Higgins, but his fantasy output is often capped due to a run-heavy Eagles offence that was dead last in pass attempts last season. While he’s maintained a solid target share of at least 22% in all four of his seasons, his week-to-week consistency is a concern. Smith’s production is heavily influenced by the presence of other playmakers. His week-to-week splits with and without tight end Dallas Goedert on the field were dramatic, as he scored 40% more fantasy points per game when Goedert was out, accounting for five of his best six weeks. For Smith to become a more reliable weekly starter, the Eagles either need to throw more and use their other playmakers less. While the talent is undeniable, Smith is best viewed as a low end WR2 with high end WR2 upside.
Tier 5: Dart Throws With Major Upside
As we look to fill out the receiver position, it’s time to start snagging players who haven’t truly broken out. These guys will be drafted as WR3s but there is a chance for all of them to potentially flirt with top 12 rankings by the end of the season.
- Tetairoa McMillan (ARI)
McMillan is a massive rookie receiver, drafted eighth overall, whose college production (a 34% target share and 52% air yard share) and physical traits (6’4″, 219 lbs) have drawn comparisons to Drake London. Head coach Dave Canales, who once coached Mike Evans in Tampa, likely has a vision for McMillan as the focal point of the offence, a role that will be amplified by his elite size, jump-ball skills, and surprisingly good route-running. With Adam Thielen, Jalen Coker and Xavier Legette as his primary competition for targets, McMillan is well-positioned for a significant role and should be valued as a solid WR3 with a very high ceiling. - Jameson Williams (DET)
The No. 12 overall pick in 2022, Williams finally broke out last season after being plagued by injuries and suspensions in his first two years. The explosive playmaker finished with 1,062 scrimmage yards (18th among WRs) and eight TDs in 15 games, despite a low target share. He finished top-7 in YPR, YPT, and RAC, and his big-play ability is a constant threat in Detroit’s high-scoring offence. However, he’s a volatile, boom-or-bust player, and his value is tied to a potential increase in volume from new offensive coordinator John Morton, who replaces the departed Ben Johnson. Williams is a fringe WR3 who could take a big leap if the team prioritizes getting him the ball. - George Pickens (DAL)
The upside for Pickens in Dallas is tantalizing—a big-play deep ball specialist playing the Michael Gallup 2.0 role in one of the most pass-happy offences in the league. Pickens fills a much-needed field-stretching role in Dallas, and Dak Prescott has the skill set to utilize Pickens’s extraordinary ball skills. Playing second fiddle to CeeDee Lamb will also help Pickens avoid top defensive attention, making him a great bet to be this year’s discount Tee Higgins. Pickens is no stranger to on-field antics and press conference drama, so betting on him is always a gamble. Even as the no. 1 receiver in Pittsburgh, Pickens often complained about a lack of attention from his quarterback. Now in Dallas, Pickens will need to learn how to deal with playing sidekick to CeeDee Lamb. - Jaylen Waddle (MIA)
Waddle enters his fifth NFL season following a somewhat inexplicable down year in 2024. While he wasn’t fully healthy at times and missed two games, his target share dipped from over 20% in his first three seasons to just 16% last year. He posted career-low marks in every key category and ranked 52nd in fantasy PPG after finishing 21st or better in his first three campaigns. Like Tyreek Hill, Waddle likely suffered from defences using two-high safeties at a league-high rate, something they will likely have to try and overcome again this season. Despite last year’s struggles, the former No. 6 overall pick is one of the league’s fastest players, and Miami’s offence could be due for a rebound. With Tyreek Hill turning 31 and seemingly unhappy every second week, Waddle has a chance to take on a larger role than ever before. However, his success is heavily tied to Tua Tagovailoa’s health and performance, as his fantasy production was nearly cut in half in games Tua missed. Waddle is a boom-or-bust player who has the talent for a bounce-back but can’t be trusted as more than a WR3 heading into 2025. - Zay Flowers (BAL)
Zay Flowers is back for his third season after posting very similar numbers in each of his first two campaigns. While he has a secure role as the WR1 on the offence, his fantasy upside is somewhat limited. Despite Lamar Jackson throwing a career-high 41 touchdowns last year, Flowers only managed to catch four, and his seven red-zone targets ranked a disappointing 64th in the NFL. He also faces stiff scoring competition from Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely, and Derrick Henry. Flowers simply didn’t have enough quality fantasy outings last season, scoring 18-plus points only five times and fewer than 12 points in 11 games. He is the clear lead receiver in Baltimore’s elite offence, but the scheme’s run-heavy nature caps his fantasy ceiling. He’s best valued as a good WR3. - Travis Hunter (JAX)
There is a real possibility that Jacksonville may be hesitant to make Hunter a full-time player on both sides of the ball. His upside is so tantalizing that drafting him is worth the risk, as there’s a universe in which Hunter immediately establishes himself as Trevor Lawrence’s No. 1 target. In this scenario, he’d get peppered with looks on all three levels of the field, leading to high-end production. The rookie is that good; he brings elite quickness, automatic hands, and run-after-the-catch ability. Matt Harmon from reception perception compared his skillset as a receiver to a young Odell Beckham Jr, so it is hard to imagine the Jaguars not wanting to use him full time on offence, however the risk is that Hunter plays only 50 percent of the team’s offensive snaps while being featured on both sides of the ball (he’s also an extremely talented cornerback). Jacksonville could severely limit his overall offensive impact – and his fantasy bottom line – if he is only used in certain situations. - Rome Odunze (CHI)
After a challenging rookie season, which was derailed almost immediately by a Week 1 MCL sprain, Odunze enters his second year with a chance to live up to his No. 9 overall draft billing. Last year, the injury seemed to affect him for most of the season, and his on-field performance reflected it. He ranked ninth among rookie wideouts in fantasy points per game (6.9 in half PPR) and averaged a meager 1.2 yards per route run. Despite these struggles, the team showed faith in him, giving him the eighth-most routes among all receivers and making him the target of 13 end zone throws, which was 11th-most in the NFL. However, he struggled to convert those opportunities, finishing 35th or lower in targets, catches, yards, and touchdowns. Part of this was simply bad luck, as his three touchdowns were well below his expected total of 6.7. Now fully healthy and with head coach Ben Johnson taking over the offence and Caleb Williams entering his second season, Odunze is an extremely logical breakout candidate. His combination of high draft capital, significant usage despite poor results, and a new, promising offensive system makes him a great mid-round target in fantasy drafts. - Jakobi Meyers (LV)
Perhaps the most underrated player in fantasy football, Jakobi Meyers enters 2025 eyeing his fifth consecutive top-30 fantasy campaign. The veteran has been a model of consistency, posting 67-plus receptions and 800-plus receiving yards in each of the past four seasons. Last year, he even set career highs with 87 catches and 1,027 yards despite inconsistent quarterback play. As the clear second option behind tight end Brock Bowers, Meyers is well-positioned to again push for strong WR3 numbers with a big upgrade at quarterback with the addition of Geno Smith. His role as a reliable, chain-moving receiver gives him a high floor, but his touchdown upside is limited, with just 20 across six seasons. While he may not win you a week on his own, his reliability makes him a solid pick who will likely be undervalued on draft day. - Jerry Jeudy (CLE)
Jerry Jeudy finished an impressive sixth in receiving yards last season despite playing with a chaotic quarterback carousel. His performance included a dominant stretch with Jameis Winston, where he averaged 112 receiving yards per game, just shy of Ja’Marr Chase. Although the Cleveland quarterback situation remains uncertain with Joe Flacco, Kenny Pickett, and two rookie QBs battling it out for the starting job, it may not be a bigger mess than the one he navigated last season. Jeudy is being drafted outside the top-30 wide receivers, making him a potential steal if the Browns continue to pepper him with targets. Entering his sixth season, he’s coming off a career-best year where he paced all wideouts in snaps (1,006) and ranked no lower than 12th in routes, targets, and receptions. His production significantly improved after Week 8, following Deshaun Watson’s injury, ranking sixth among all wide receivers in fantasy points during that span. The primary limitation for Jeudy remains touchdowns, as he scored only four in 2024 and has never eclipsed six in a single season. The 26-year-old has finished as a top-25 fantasy receiver in two of the past three seasons and is the clear No. 1 target in the Browns’ offence. While his weekly output may be inconsistent, he is a strong consideration for your WR3 slot. - Khalil Shakir (BUF)
After spending his first two seasons in a limited role, Khalil Shakir broke out as a primary target for Josh Allen in 2024, leading the 13-win Bills in receiving yards. While his real-life efficiency was excellent – he was elite with the ball in his hands and caught 77% of his targets – his fantasy production was modest. Shakir finished as the WR35 in fantasy points per game, with a low ceiling and only one top-10 weekly finish all season. Shakir’s fantasy limitations are tied directly to his role. Although he commanded a solid 20-23% target share in a high-powered offence, his opportunities were heavily concentrated in the short area of the field, with a high percentage of screen passes. He also rarely saw work near the goal line, severely capping his touchdown upside. With other pass-catchers like Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid expected to take a leap forward, and the recent addition of Josh Palmer, Shakir’s role may not grow despite signing a new contract extension in the offseason. He remains a reliable, high-floor player who won’t disappoint, but his defined slot role and lack of red-zone usage make him a classic flex option rather than a weekly difference-maker.
- Jordan Addison (MIN)
Entering his third season, Jordan Addison has established himself as one of the league’s most reliable touchdown scorers, with 20 total over his first two years. This impressive nose for the end zone has allowed him to finish as a high-end WR3, landing at WR23 and WR21 in fantasy points per game, respectively. He leverages his speed and big-play talent to thrive in one-on-one coverage while Justin Jefferson commands most of the defence’s attention. Despite his fantasy success, Addison’s production has been overly reliant on touchdowns and has come with a low-volume, boom-or-bust profile. He’s ranked outside the top 25 in targets, receptions, and yards in both of his NFL seasons, with over 40% of his fantasy points last year coming in just three games. With the return of a healthy T.J. Hockenson and a new quarterback in J.J. McCarthy, his target share could remain suppressed in 2025. There’s also the potential for touchdown regression and an upcoming suspension for a traffic incident. While Addison has proven he can deliver solid fantasy production, he remains a volatile asset best valued as a high-end WR3 with weekly WR2 upside, particularly in a pass-heavy scheme.
- Ricky Pearsall (SF)
After a promising college career, Ricky Pearsall’s rookie season was unfortunately derailed by a gunshot wound he suffered in an attempted robbery in August 2024. This, along with a hamstring injury, caused him to miss the first six games. Once he returned to the field, he was a non-factor for most of the season, but he finished his rookie campaign on an extremely high note, grabbing 14 catches for 210 yards and two touchdowns in his final two games. Looking ahead to 2025, Pearsall is in a prime position to break out. With the trade of Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk’s uncertain return timeline due to an ACL injury, and Jauan Jenning’s hunt for a new contract or trade, Pearsall has a legitimate opportunity to emerge as the team’s top wide receiver. While he will still have to compete for targets with key playmakers like George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey, his clear path to consistent early-season playing time makes him a fantastic mid-round flier and Kyle Shanahan looks to return his offence back to form after a down 2024 season.
- Stefon Diggs (NE)
After a lengthy career with the Vikings, Bills, and a brief stint with the Texans, Stefon Diggs has found a new home in New England, where he’ll be relied upon to be the team’s top wide receiver. Diggs signed with the Patriots to provide a reliable option who can win in man coverage, and his presence is a major boost for second-year quarterback Drake Maye, who threw his first 10 touchdown passes to 10 different players in his rookie season as the Patriots were waiting for the emergence of a true WR1. While Diggs offers a clear path to a massive target share in a shallow Patriots receiving corps, his fantasy outlook is not without risk. He’s now 32 years old and is returning from a torn ACL he suffered in Week 8 of last season. While early camp reports are promising, with Diggs looking like a full participant, it’s unclear if he’ll be able to return to form and deliver the high-end WR1 production he was known for. The inherent risk associated with his age and injury will keep his draft position low, but he comes with the potential to be a high-end WR2 for an up and coming QB if he can regain his pre-injury explosiveness.
- Chris Godwin (TB)
After a career year was cut short by a serious ankle injury, Chris Godwin re-signed with the Buccaneers, leaving his fantasy outlook in a state of high-risk, high-reward uncertainty. Before dislocating his ankle in Week 7 of last season, Godwin was on an historic pace, leading the NFL in catches and ranking second in receiving yards and fantasy points per game, behind only Ja’Marr Chase. He was averaging a career-high 19.7 fantasy PPG and had already scored five touchdowns in just seven games, after totaling 10 over the previous three seasons. His success was fueled by a change in offensive philosophy under former offensive coordinator Liam Coen, who utilized Godwin as a short-area slot receiver, leading to a career-low 5.7 air yards per target but a career-high 62.3% of his yards coming after the catch. Despite this elite production, there are significant questions about his health and role heading into 2025. Godwin underwent a second, minor procedure on his ankle this offseason, and as of the start of training camp, he was placed on the PUP (Physically Unable to Perform) list, though the team is hopeful he will be ready for Week 1. To add to the murky situation, the Buccaneers drafted wide receiver Emeka Egbuka from Ohio State, a primary slot receiver who could compete with Godwin for targets and a similar role. With a new offensive coordinator (former passing game coordinator Josh Grizzard) and the potential for regression from quarterback Baker Mayfield after a 41 touchdown season, it’s unclear if Godwin will replicate the hyper-efficient usage he saw in 2024. Ultimately, Godwin’s fantasy value for 2025 comes down to a calculated gamble. If he can return to full health and maintain his top target status, he has the potential to be a high-end WR2 or even crack the WR1 conversation, making him an excellent value in the middle rounds of drafts. However, the injury risk and new competition make him a volatile pick. He’s finished as a WR2 or better in points per game in five of the last six seasons, making him a player with a proven track record, but the uncertainty surrounding his health and role must be considered on draft day.
- Emeka Egbuka (TB)
Emeka Egbuka, a former five-star recruit from Ohio State, enters the NFL after being selected by the Buccaneers in the first round. While he holds the Ohio State record for receiving yards, his collegiate profile suggests a player who excels in a short-range, slot-heavy role, catching 72% of his targets and demonstrating strong efficiency with 2.64 yards per route run. Egbuka’s immediate fantasy value is heavily dependent on the health of veteran wide receiver Chris Godwin, who is recovering from a dislocated ankle and started training camp on the PUP list. If Godwin is sidelined, Egbuka could immediately step into a significant role. However, with Mike Evans still a dominant force and second-year receiver Jalen McMillan also vying for targets after a strong finish to his rookie season, Egbuka could potentially start his career third in the pecking order despite entering the draft process touted as the most NFL ready receiver. Historically, first-round wide receivers who land on teams with established talent (like Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Rome Odunze) often have a slower start to their rookie seasons. Egbuka’s profile – primarily a slot receiver with a low average depth of target in college – is a direct overlap with Godwin’s most successful usage last season, creating a crowded situation, even with the age and injury histories of the veteran receiver. While Egbuka is a great dynasty asset with a promising future, his rookie season outlook has plenty of concerns, even as the season progresses Godwin gets healthier later into the fall.
- Jayden Reed (GB)
Jayden Reed enters his third NFL season as a dynamic playmaker for the Packers, but his fantasy outlook is clouded by a few key concerns. Good things seem to happen when Reed touches the football; in his first two seasons, he’s amassed over 1,000 scrimmage yards and seven touchdowns each year. However, his limited snap count and target share have prevented him from being a consistent fantasy producer. In his second season, Reed saw the field on just 63% of the team’s snaps and had a modest 16.2% target rate. This limited role was exacerbated by the Packers’ run-heavy approach and the fact that he was primarily used in three-receiver sets. While Reed was efficient with his opportunities, averaging 2.23 yards per route run (18th among wide receivers), his low volume of routes capped his upside. He was particularly quiet at the end of last season, with only 19 receptions for 237 yards over the final eight games. The Green Bay offence has a deep wide receiver corps, and this offseason the team added rookie Matthew Golden in the first round, further complicating the target distribution. While Reed’s a proven talent with the ability to create explosive plays, his path to a consistent, high-volume role is unclear. His struggles with drops and a lack of top-tier fantasy finishes in his first two seasons make him a risky pick. Reed is a strong dynasty asset due to his talent and youth, but for 2025 fantasy leagues, he projects as a low-ceiling flex option who will need an increase in snap share to break out.
- Jayden Higgins (HOU)
Higgins was a high-value pick for the Houston Texans, selected 34th overall, early in the second round of the 2025 NFL draft. His draft position and the team he’s joining – with a promising quarterback in C.J. Stroud – point to an immediate and exciting opportunity for the rookie wideout. Higgins brings a compelling mix of size (6-foot-4, 214 pounds) and impressive college production to the NFL. He demonstrated elite efficiency at Iowa State, dropping only two of his 129 targets and posting a class-best 74% rate of converting catches into first downs and his 2.86 career yards per route run ranked third in this year’s wide receiver class. Higgins is poised to compete for the No. 2 receiver role opposite of Nico Collins, a receiver Higgins was often compared to entering the draft. With Tank Dell’s status for the 2025 season uncertain due to injury, Higgins has a clear path to playing time. He’ll face some competition from veteran Christian Kirk and fellow rookie Jaylin Noel, but both those receivers work more out of the slot leaving Higgins to carve out a role of his own. If he secures a spot in two-wide receiver sets, he could offer immediate flex production for fantasy managers. Given the potential for significant playing time and his connection to a quality quarterback, Higgins is more than a simple lottery ticket. He’s a player with a clear path to fantasy relevance and is an excellent target in the later rounds of redraft leagues.
- Matthew Golden (GB)
The Green Bay Packers made a statement by selecting Matthew Golden in the first round of the draft, and his profile suggests he has the potential to be a game-changer. Golden is an explosive playmaker who can line up all over the field, and his elite athleticism was on full display at the combine, where he ran a 4.29 40-yard dash. His ability to create deep-play opportunities makes him a perfect fit for a Packers offence that loves to push the ball downfield. Golden enters a crowded wide receiver room, but he has an immediate path to a significant role. With Christian Watson expected to miss a large portion of the season due to an ACL injury, Golden has a chance to step in as the team’s primary deep threat for quarterback Jordan Love. While his college production was a bit inconsistent, he finished his final season at Texas on a high note, averaging 95.0 receiving yards per game over his last six games. His ability to turn a high percentage of his targets into first downs or touchdowns further solidifies his playmaker status. However, Golden’s fantasy value for 2025 comes with some notable risks. Head coach Matt LaFleur has shown a tendency to rotate a stable of talented pass-catchers, and with Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks, and tight ends like Tucker Kraft and Luke Musgrave all competing for targets, Golden’s weekly volume could be hard to predict – much like Christian Watson’s to this point in his career. Additionally, the Packers’ offence had one of the lowest drop back rates in the league last year, which could cap the overall production for all their receivers, although that could be a result of an early season injury to Love that caused LaFleur to lean heavier on the rushing game. For 2025 redraft leagues, Golden is a high-upside WR3 who could deliver huge weeks, but he may lack the week-to-week consistency needed for a stable lineup spot. He is best viewed as a flex option with major breakout potential. In dynasty leagues, his long-term outlook is more promising, as the contracts for Watson and Doubs are up after the 2025 season, which could clear the path for a larger role.
- Josh Downs (IND)
Josh Downs enters the 2025 season as a high-upside slot receiver with a frustratingly low floor, a situation defined almost entirely by the Indianapolis Colts’ ongoing quarterback struggles. As a savvy route runner, Downs proved his ability to get open last year with an impressive 21.7% target rate, ranking tied for 24th among all receivers with 5.1 catches per game. His efficiency metrics are also strong, with a 29.4% target rate per route run (trailing only Puka Nacua and Malik Nabers) and 2.21 yards per route run (19th in the league). The biggest issue for Downs is the lack of a consistent passing game. His production varied dramatically depending on who was under centre. In seven full games with Anthony Richardson, Downs averaged 5.9 targets and 10.7 fantasy points per game. This jumped significantly to 9.4 targets and 15.5 fantasy points per game in seven outings with Joe Flacco. While the team added Daniel Jones, it’s unclear if he can provide the stability needed to unlock Downs’s full potential. Downs’s role as a slot-only receiver in a run-heavy, low-volume passing offence further limits his upside. He was on the field for only 75.5% of the team’s dropbacks, as he was rarely used in two-receiver sets. This makes him a tough player to trust for consistent weekly production. He’s best viewed as a late-round lottery ticket for fantasy managers. His impressive route-running and ability to get open make him a great player, but his value is tied directly to the Colts’ quarterback play. If Richardson can take a big step forward in his accuracy or if Jones proves to be a more effective passer, Downs’s fantasy output could jump dramatically. However, until that happens, he’ll be a frustrating player to own.
- Keon Coleman (BUF)
Keon Coleman enters his second season with the Buffalo Bills as one of the most polarizing fantasy assets. On one hand, he possesses immense upside as the potential WR1 for an elite offence led by quarterback Josh Allen. Coleman, who was drafted in the second round in 2024, has a clear path to a larger role after a rookie season in which the only players to crack 500 receiving yards in Buffalo were him (556) and Khalil Shakir (821). He also showcased his big-play ability with an impressive 19.2 yards per reception, the third-highest mark in the league. At just 22 years old, there’s reason to believe a significant Year 2 leap is on the horizon. However, Coleman’s rookie campaign also highlighted some major concerns. He was raw and struggled against man coverage, and the overall volume of his production was low. He only topped four catches or 70 yards in a game once, and his 51% catch rate was a major red flag. A midseason wrist injury further stunted his development, and he failed to post a 12-point fantasy outing after his return. Ultimately, Coleman is a high-risk, high-reward pick. He’s a vertical threat who was heavily targeted in the red zone (a team-high eight end zone targets despite missing four games), which gives him a high touchdown ceiling. The positive signs are there, but he’ll need to develop his route-running and separation skills to become a consistent fantasy producer. In 2025 redraft leagues, Coleman is an excellent target in the mid-to-late rounds as a high-upside WR3 with the potential for a massive breakout. For dynasty leagues, he’s a prime buy-low candidate with the potential to be a long-term starter for your fantasy team.
- Jauan Jennings (SF)
Jauan Jennings is a high-risk, high-reward fantasy option for the 2025 season. His breakout 2024 campaign, where he averaged 11.5 half-PPR points per game and led 49ers’ wide receivers in routes, targets, and yards, showed he has the talent to be a legitimate fantasy asset. His elite per-route efficiency (2.29 yards per route run) was particularly impressive. However, his value is now complicated by two significant issues. First, Jennings is in a contract dispute, reportedly seeking a new deal or a trade despite being in the final year of a $7.5 million contract. While the 49ers haven’t formally acknowledged a trade request, the situation adds a layer of uncertainty. Second, he recently aggravated a calf injury that has no timetable for his return. This is a major concern, as it not only impacts his availability to start the season but also presents a risk of a lingering injury. With Deebo Samuel gone and Brandon Aiyuk expected to miss a portion of the season, Jennings is positioned for a prominent role initially. However, the combination of his contract drama and calf injury makes him a volatile pick. He has the potential to be a fantasy smash where he’s getting drafted, but carries significant risk once Aiyuk returns and until the contract situation is resolved.
- Cedric Tillman (CLE)
Cedric Tillman presents a fascinating yet risky fantasy option for the upcoming season. Entering his third year, Tillman showed flashes of a breakout in 2024, particularly during a four-week stretch from Weeks 7 to 12. During that time, he was a top-20 fantasy wide receiver, averaging an impressive 18.6 fantasy points and 9.8 targets per game. This spike in production was largely fueled by two factors: the trade of Amari Cooper and the play of quarterback Jameis Winston, who seemed to favor Tillman. However, Tillman’s fantasy value for 2025 is far from certain. The Cleveland quarterback situation is in flux, and it’s highly unlikely he’ll benefit from the same Jameis Winston effect that buoyed his performance. Adding in the fact that Tillman’s underlying metrics as a route runner and separator are below average gives rise to the possibility that his production might have been a product of circumstance rather than elite skill. With the addition of Diontae Johnson and the return of Jerry Jeudy, Tillman will be fighting for the No. 2 wide receiver spot. This competition, combined with the new faces in the quarterback room, makes him a volatile prospect.
- Luther Burden III (CHI)
Luther Burden is a high-upside, late-round fantasy pick with considerable risk for the 2025 season. Drafted by the Chicago Bears in the second round, Burden is a versatile and explosive pass-catcher known for his run-after-the-catch ability. The team’s new offensive coordinator, Ben Johnson, is expected to utilize his playmaking skills, potentially as a replacement for Keenan Allen in the slot. However, the path to fantasy relevance for Burden is crowded with elite talent. He’ll have to compete for targets with established veterans like D.J. Moore and promising sophomore Rome Odunze, as well as tight ends Cole Kmet and rookie Colston Loveland. His situation is made more complex by a hamstring injury that kept him out for much of the offseason, forcing him to play catch-up with the playbook and his teammates. Recent reports from training camp, however, indicate he has been performing well and is showing the flashes of talent that the Bears saw in him. While his talent is undeniable, consistent fantasy production is unlikely in his rookie year unless injuries strike the players ahead of him on the depth chart. Burden is a perfect “taxi squad” candidate in dynasty leagues and a high-risk, high-reward flier in the final rounds of redraft leagues, where his potential for a breakout late in the season could pay off handsomely if he can overcome his competition and early setbacks.
Tier 6: Reliable Floor Plays with Limited Ceilings
We’re now at the guys you’re debating between to fill out your roster. At this point of the draft, I prefer to take fliers on guys with high upside or younger players who can carve out a larger role as the season progresses. Injuries will happen to your fantasy rosters, so having someone who can provide positive points when you need them is crucial.
- Cooper Kupp (SEA)
After an illustrious career with the Rams, Cooper Kupp has signed with the Seattle Seahawks at 32 years old, bringing a complex fantasy outlook with him. Once an elite producer, his recent performance has declined, with career-lows in yards per catch and yards per game, and a concerning ranking of 102nd among wide receivers in ESPN’s Open Score. Plagued by lower-body injuries that have caused him to miss five games in each of the past two seasons, his durability has become a major concern. Furthermore, he’s entering a new, potentially run-focused offence and will have to compete for slot targets with Jaxon Smith-Njigba and rookie tight end Elijah Arroyo. While he flashed his old form in the first half of last season, his significant fade down the stretch makes him a risky pick. Kupp is best viewed as a flex option at best rather than a top-tier wide receiver.
- Darnell Mooney (ATL)
Darnell Mooney is entering his second season with the Atlanta Falcons and is poised to be the team’s number two receiver behind Drake London. While his fantasy production last season was a roller coaster of boom-or-bust weeks, he showed efficiency with a career-high 1.89 yards per route run and his lowest-ever inaccurate target rate. The addition of new quarterback Michael Penix Jr. could benefit Mooney, as the offence is expected to throw the ball more frequently. However, his upside is capped as the second option, and he’s never surpassed five touchdowns in a season. Mooney offers spike-week potential and can be a valuable bench piece or flex option, particularly in best ball leagues, but fantasy managers should be aware of his inconsistent production.
- Brandon Aiyuk (SF)
Brandon Aiyuk’s fantasy football value for the upcoming season is significantly clouded by a major knee injury. The talented wide receiver is coming off torn ACL and MCL ligaments from last October, with no firm timetable for his return. He’s expected to miss a substantial part of the season and may begin on the Physically Unable to Perform (PUP) list. While he previously delivered back-to-back top-15 fantasy seasons, his on-field production was already down before the injury. On a positive note, the trade of Deebo Samuel to Washington could position Aiyuk as the clear number-one target once healthy. This makes him a risky but high-upside late-round pick, best suited for managers who can afford to stash him on the bench with the hope he becomes a difference-maker during the fantasy playoffs.
- Rashid Shaheed (NO)
Rashid Shaheed is a high-upside wide receiver with a boom-or-bust profile, making him a tricky fantasy evaluation for the upcoming season. He was becoming known as one of the NFL’s premier deep threats and was on his way to a breakout campaign last year before suffering a season-ending meniscus injury in Week 6. Prior to the injury, Shaheed was a key part of the Saints’ offence, averaging over 13 fantasy points per game and leading the team in targets. However, his fantasy value is now clouded by a few major concerns. First is his return from the meniscus injury, and second is the significant downgrade at quarterback with Derek Carr no longer in the picture. The starting job is now a competition between Spencer Rattler and Tyler Shough, which creates a highly volatile situation. Shaheed’s only game without Carr in 2024 saw him catch just one pass for 11 yards, and neither Shough nor Rattler are known for their deep ball accuracy. Ultimately Sheheed is a perfect option in best ball formats but is probably going to be too big of a risk in redraft leagues.
- Jack Bech (LV)
Jack Bech, a second-round pick by the Las Vegas Raiders, enters a situation with a clear path to playing time behind Jakobi Meyers and Brock Bowers. After a quiet start to his college career, he exploded in his senior season at TCU with a 62-reception, 1,034-yard, nine-touchdown performance. This late-career breakout, combined with his reliable hands and prowess against zone coverage, makes him a compelling mid-to-late-round flier in fantasy drafts. However, his fantasy value comes with significant risks. Nearly all of his production came in a single season, and he’s shown struggles against man coverage. While his talent as a run-blocker and a potential big slot receiver makes him a valuable asset for the Raiders, he might profile to be a better real life receiver that does not truly make a difference in fantasy.
- Demario Douglas (NE)
Demario Douglas is entering his third NFL season after leading the Patriots’ wide receiver group in targets during his first two years. Despite being a sixth-round pick in 2023, he quickly carved out a significant role for himself, and last season, he set new career highs in targets, catches, yards, and touchdowns. At 5’8″, 179 pounds, Douglas is one of the smaller receivers in the league, operating primarily out of the slot. While that position has yielded fantasy success in the past under Josh McDaniels offences, the Patriots also brought in Stefon Diggs and drafted Kyle Williams, so Douglas’s role and target share are likely to decrease in 2025. Due to the influx of talent and a probable shift in offensive philosophy, Douglas is a late-round flier with minimal fantasy appeal except for spike weeks in PPR leagues.
- Michael Pittman Jr. (IND)
Like the rest of the Colts, Pittman’s 2025 fantasy outlook is heavily dependent on the Indianapolis Colts’ quarterback situation. He’s coming off a disappointing season where his production dropped significantly due to subpar quarterback play and a back injury. Despite the challenges, he still commanded a high target share (22.6%), ranking as WR21 in the league, which shows he remains a primary option in the passing game. However, his quality of targets declined, and he has struggled to find the end zone consistently throughout his career. With target competition like Josh Downs, Adonai Mitchell and the addition of Tyler Warren, Pittman’s volume could be squeezed this coming season. While he presents a potential value pick given his low cost, he’s best viewed as a flex option with a low floor.
- Rashod Bateman (BAL)
Bateman is a classic boom/bust fantasy player whose value is heavily tied to touchdowns. While he posted career-best marks in 2024 with nine scores, this is likely unsustainable, as his prior three seasons yielded only four total touchdowns. His fantasy production was extremely volatile; over 30% of his points came from touchdowns, and he averaged just 4.4 points per game in weeks without one. Bateman is a talented deep threat but suffers from inconsistent target volume and ranks as the fourth or fifth option in a crowded Baltimore offence. With only 72 targets on the season, he lacks the usage to be a reliable weekly flex starter.
- Kyle Williams (NE)
Williams enters the league as a rookie wide receiver for the New England Patriots, an undersized but explosive player who has generated significant offseason buzz. Selected in the third round, he arrives with a college resume built on speed and an ability to create yards after the catch. He averaged an impressive 8.4 yards after the catch per reception in his final college season and was highly effective against man coverage. Williams landed in an ideal situation to contribute immediately considering the Patriots have a young quarterback, and their wide receiver room lacks a clear-cut alpha with the questions surrounding Diggs’ ACL recovery. This could open up opportunities for Williams to earn a significant role. However, Williams is not without his risks. The Patriots’ receiver depth chart is suddenly crowded, and rookie receivers have historically struggled to produce in New England in Josh McDaniels complicated offence. Williams’s college production was also questioned, particularly his dip in production against zone coverage. He’s best viewed as a late-round flier who offers significant upside as a potential target earner but comes with a low floor and a great deal of uncertainty.
- Christian Kirk (HOU)
Kirk’s move to the Houston Texans presents a new fantasy opportunity. With both Tank Dell recovering from a knee injury and Stefon Diggs no longer with the team, Kirk is well-positioned to step in as the primary slot receiver and a key target for quarterback C.J. Stroud, particularly early in the season. He has a proven track record of producing from the slot and could see a target share slightly under what Diggs saw before his injury. Kirk’s value is also boosted by playing alongside alpha receiver Nico Collins, which should draw defensive attention away from him, and he provides valuable contingency upside should Collins miss any games. However, Kirk’s role isn’t guaranteed, as he will face competition for targets from rookies Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel. Given his history of inconsistent production and limited touchdown upside, Kirk is best viewed as a late-round pick with a solid floor but a potentially volatile ceiling.
- Jalen Coker (CAR)
Jalen Coker enters his second season with the Carolina Panthers facing an uphill battle for fantasy relevance. The undrafted free agent surprised many in his rookie year, showing flashes of potential with a solid 16% target share and 9.3 fantasy points per game during a 10-game stretch. He proved to be a legitimate receiving option, even leading all rookie wide receivers with a first down or touchdown on 50% of his targets. However, much of that production came while other key players were sidelined. The addition of first-round draft pick Tetairoa McMillan creates a crowded wide receiver room, likely placing Coker behind McMillan and fighting with Adam Thielen and Xavier Legette on the depth chart. While Coker’s rookie production keeps him on the fantasy radar, he’s a long shot for consistent playing time.
- Xavier Legette (CAR)
Legette, the final pick of the first round in the 2024 NFL Draft, enters his second season with a mixed fantasy outlook. His rookie year was a tale of high opportunity and low efficiency, as he commanded a healthy target share but struggled with his route-running and catching, ranking near the bottom of his position in several key metrics. The Panthers are invested in his development, but while Legette’s draft pedigree and a potential second-year leap make him an intriguing late-round flier, his path to consistent targets is uncertain. He presents a high-risk, high-reward option, as his fantasy value hinges on his ability to refine his skills and secure a reliable role in what should be a more competent offence.
- Romeo Doubs (GB)
Romeo Doubs enters his fourth season as a wide receiver for the Packers, returning as a trusted target for quarterback Jordan Love in high-leverage situations. He’s led the team in receiving statistics since 2022, but this production has translated to a modest 9.5 fantasy points per game and no top-45 fantasy seasons. Doubs’s value is hindered by the Packers’ offence, which frequently rotates players and spreads the ball around, preventing any single pass-catcher from earning a consistent, high-volume role. Furthermore, the arrival of rookies Matthew Golden and Savion Williams, along with the presence of Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks, and Christian Watson, creates substantial competition for targets. While Doubs serves as the team’s full-time “X” receiver and gets a good share of end-zone looks, his limited upside makes him a fantasy bench option.
- Marvin Mims Jr. (DEN)
Mims is a high-upside, boom/bust fantasy option heading into his third NFL season with the Broncos. He’s an explosive playmaker who finished the 2024 season on a tear, scoring six touchdowns in his final seven games and showcasing elite efficiency with a league-best 4.4 yards per route run among qualified receivers. However, Mims remained a part-time player, failing to clear a 50% snap share in all but one game. His role is currently limited and heavily reliant on manufactured touches, with over half of his targets coming at or behind the line of scrimmage. With Courtland Sutton returning and additional competition from players like tight end Evan Engram and rookie Pat Bryant, Mims’ path to a full-time role remains uncertain. He possesses the skills to break out, but his fantasy value is currently that of a late-round lottery ticket who needs an expanded opportunity to become a reliable option.
- Tre Harris (LAC)
Harris was a highly productive second-round pick by the Chargers, boasting an absurd 5.20 yards per route run in his final college season and three consecutive years of over 50 catches, 900 yards, and 7 touchdowns at Ole Miss. However, his path to a significant rookie role is complicated by a crowded receiver room that includes Quentin Johnston, Ladd McConkey, and now Keenan Allen. The ideal outcome for fantasy owners is that Harris secures the WR2 spot, becoming a primary target for quarterback Justin Herbert. While his elite college production is a major positive, concerns remain about his numbers potentially being inflated by the offensive system at Ole Miss. Ultimately, Harris is an appealing, high-upside late-round flier whose fantasy value is tied directly to his ability to carve out a consistent role in his rookie season.
- Jalen McMillan (TB)
McMillan’s fantasy value is a tricky evaluation entering his second season. After a slow start to his rookie year, the former third-round pick exploded onto the scene over the final five games, logging a league-high seven touchdown catches and becoming a highly productive fantasy option with an average of 19.8 fantasy points per game. This impressive late-season surge, however, came while veteran Chris Godwin was sidelined with an injury. The Buccaneers further complicated McMillan’s path to consistent production by drafting first-round rookie Emeka Egbuka this year. With Mike Evans, a returning Godwin, and the new addition of Egbuka all vying for targets, McMillan is expected to be no higher than the fourth receiving option. This makes him a risky fantasy investment, relegating him to a late-round flier or a deep-league flex option whose value is highly dependent on an injury to one of the starters.
- Wan’Dale Robinson (NYG)
After a high-volume 2024 campaign, Robinson’s production was historically inefficient. He led the team with 93 catches on 140 targets, but his 7.5 yards per catch was the lowest in NFL history for a receiver with at least 90 receptions. This unique stat line is a direct result of his usage as a short-area target, with a low average depth of target. Despite his heavy target share and leading the league in third-down targets, his lack of downfield production and touchdowns kept him from being a top-tier fantasy option. While the arrival of new quarterback Russell Wilson could theoretically improve his efficiency, his specialized skillset and the Giants’ established pattern of using him near the line of scrimmage make him a low-ceiling PPR depth receiver.
Tier 8: Established Veterans who will be on the Field.
We’ve now reached the part of the article where these guys don’t need full write ups. For the most part, we know who they are, and what their role will be in their offence. You’re hoping to not have to roster many of these players.
- Deebo Samuel (WAS)
His best years may be behind him at this point, but could see looks if the McLaurin situation deteriorates. With a strong pre-season and training camp proving he’s fully healthy, he could jump up several spots.
- Joshua Palmer (BUF)
Solid reliable veteran receiver who has never taken the step to be more than a WR3.
- Adonai Mitchell (IND)
Loads of potential, but concentration drops plagued his rookie season.
- Dontayvion Wicks (GB)
See above – Wicks was pegged as a breakout star entering the 2024 season but at times it truly looked like he forgot how to catch a football. Will likely be surpassed on the depth chart quickly by the loaded Packers wide receiver room.
- Pat Bryant (DEN)
Rookie pick that head coach Sean Payton certainly hyped up and can fit into this receiving room, but has a long way to go to prove he has NFL talent.
- Hollywood Brown (KC)
Re-signed in KC after an injury plagued first season. Has to prove he can stay healthy to try and regain relevance in the NFL.
- Adam Thielen (CAR)
Thielen will probably start the season strong as he has for the past two seasons, but will come crashing right back down and get passed on the depth chart quickly, losing all value before you even get a chance to trade him.
- Parker Washington (JAX)
I think Washington beats out Dyami Brown for the WR3 role in Jacksonville, which is relevant if Jacksonville only uses Travis Hunter in certain packages on offence. If that’s the case, Washington could have a fairly high snap percentage in a high powered Liam Coen offence.
- Quentin Johnston (LAC)
Still hasn’t proven to be a reliable weapon on a weekly basis despite being given plenty of opportunity.
- Keenan Allen (LAC)
While the explosiveness is essentially gone, Allen is a PPR merchant and a quarterback’s best friend.
- Michael Wilson (ARI)
The Cardinals shockingly didn’t add to their wide receiver room and Wilson will get another chance to prove himself for this disappointing offence as their WR2.
- DeAndre Hopkins (BAL)
Expectations for Hopkins should be extremely low as they will likely limit his snaps to keep him fresh for a deep playoff run.
- Jaylin Noel (HOU)
One of my favourite picks in dynasty drafts, Noel is likely stuck behind Kirk for the slot role for the majority of this coming season. Look for a year two breakout.
- Jermain Burton (CIN)
After a rookie season marred by a lack of professionalism, there’s renewed hope that a year of maturity will help Burton secure the Bengals’ WR3 position over Andrei Iosivas. If he can achieve this, he would be just one injury away from a significant role in the explosive Bengals offence, making him a player with considerable fantasy upside.
- Darius Slayton (NYG)
The Giants seem to want to get rid of Slayton every trade deadline, then recommit to him in the offseason. With volume running through Nabers, and Robinson soaking up the short passing game, there is not much left for Slayton in this offence.
- Diontae Johnson (CLE)
After bouncing from team to team in 2024 due to reported attitude issues, Johnson lands with a questionable offence. He can however rise the depth chart quickly, and could gain limited value in full PPR leagues.
- Calvin Austin III (PIT)
Likely to be the WR2 in Pittsburgh, but the offence will not be high octane.
- Roman Wilson (PIT)
Missed all but one game in his rookie season due to injury and is already nursing something during his training camp, but the talent is there if he can ever stay on the field.
Tier 7: Deepest League Only
If you have gotten this far in the rankings, you are a true fantasy sicko and I commend you.
- Troy Franklin (DEN)
Franklin will look to make an impact after a disappointing rookie season.
- Tory Horton (SEA)
A decent sized rookie who tested well at the combine, could earn a role early in Seattle, but the offence will be very run heavy.
- Tyler Lockett (TEN)
Reliable veteran for a rookie quarterback who will make a lot of short to intermediate catches.
- Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (MIA)
Unlikely to reproduce his incredible touchdown rate from 2024, but will line up as Miami’s WR3.
- Dont’e Thorton Jr. (LV)
Potential deep threat who has been turning head in training camp for Geno Smith in Vegas.
- Dyami Brown (JAX)
Brown will remain a deep threat receiver who will get 1-2 targets a game to keep defences honest.
- Christian Watson (GB)
Productive deep threat when healthy, but his 2025 season is in question with an ACL injury.
- Chimere Dike (Ten)
Deep threat rookie who can line up all over the field, but might be stuck on special teams.
- Tai Felton (MIN)
Could eventually be the new WR3 in Minnesota with potential to earn some valuable game snaps early with an Addison suspension pending.
- Jalen Nailor (MIN)
Will likely start the season as a big part of the Vikings offence, but I’m not expecting a breakout season.
- Elic Ayomanor (TEN)
A fourth round pick in a shallow receiver room with potential to take on a larger role near the end of the season.
- Luke McCaffrey (WAS)
Hyped as Jayden Daniels favourite teammate this time last year, McCaffrey was always scouted as a developmental project who is still a year away
- Savion Williams (GB)
The heaviest WR in this year’s rookie class, Williams will likely be a special teamer but could have some gimmick plays drawn up for him thanks to his dual threat ability.
-Devon Gallant
Twitter: @DevGallant
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